Cartoon by Helen Cochrane and Nicholas Leonard.
It is 9/4 that Bercow will have bowed out of his role as Speaker before Trump’s state visit
With Bercow now facing a no confidence move Betway make it a 9/4 chance that he’ll not be in the role by the time of the Trump state visit.
I’m far from convinced that the move by some Tory MPs against the former right-wing Bercow is going to succeed. An effort to thwart him was tried before just before the 2010-2015 was dissolved ahead of GE2015. That fizzled out through lack of the support needed.
There are so many ways that Berrow irritates his fellow parliamentarians but the Tories who are making an issue over Bercow and Trump have got it wrong.
It’ll be portrayed as though Bercow’s detractors are driven by their support for Trump. The optics of this don’t look good. Even though Trump is polling a bit better than six months ago amongst British voters he remains someone that the majority of people have strong negative views on.
This’ll be presented as Bercow v Trump and on that, I’d suggest, the speaker wins hands down.
My guess is that he’ll survive the confidence move which will end up reinforcing his position.