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Author: TSE

If Russia really has compromising material against Trump and planning to use it then there’s a few bets that need considering

If Russia really has compromising material against Trump and planning to use it then there’s a few bets that need considering

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Please not the footage of Trump and peeing hookers. I DON'T WANT TO WRITE THAT ARTICLE.https://t.co/b3P5IdzMSO — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 5, 2017 The Independent along with many other outlets is reporting A Russian politician has threatened to “hit Donald Trump with our Kompromat” on state TV.  Speaking on Russia-24, Nikita Isaev, leader of the far-right New Russia Movement, said the compromising material should be released in retaliation over the closure of several Russian diplomatic compounds across the US.  When asked whether Russia…

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The evening must read

The evening must read

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Must read by ConHome's @wallaceme on what went wrong with the CON GE17 campaign. In 2 words "totally unprepared" https://t.co/OIecudAySo — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 5, 2017 Today Conservative Home have published the first of three magna opera on the 2017 Conservative general election campaign which saw Mrs May squander David Cameron’s hard won majority. Once all three have been published, I plan to do a more detailed thread on them. This excerpt from today’s piece confirms the fears many…

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Don’t EU want me?

Don’t EU want me?

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YouGov have released some pan-European polling when it comes to how some of our EU allies would view us remaining in the EU. YouGov note New YouGov Eurotrack data reveals that it is not just the British public that want the UK to leave the European Union; French people want Brexit, too. A  plurality of people in France say they would rather that Britain left the EU than stayed in it (38% to 32%). Of the six EU nations surveyed, only in…

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If May cannot deliver a Brexit deal then Labour should call a vote of no confidence in her government

If May cannot deliver a Brexit deal then Labour should call a vote of no confidence in her government

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Some Tories are floating the idea that Britain might leave Brexit talks with no deal in the end. That’s not good enough says Keiran Pedley. Labour must make clear that if it looks like the government cannot deliver a Brexit deal, then they will call a vote of no confidence. As Westminster goes ‘back to school’ it is safe to say that Brexit talks are not going particularly well. A war of words has broken out between chief Brexit negotiator…

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The Body In Number 10. Solving the mystery of Theresa May’s replacement

The Body In Number 10. Solving the mystery of Theresa May’s replacement

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In their own way, Agatha Christie novels are sublime works of art.  Complaining that they lack plausible characterisation or profound social commentary is as silly as complaining that you can’t enjoy the landscapes in a Bridget Riley: that’s not what they’re trying to do.  Mrs Christie successfully provided briskly written puzzles set in a comforting world where her readers would like to live.  She fairly set out all the facts yet still managed to surprise them with her resolution of…

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YouGov finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don’t want Mrs May to fight the next general election

YouGov finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don’t want Mrs May to fight the next general election

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YouGov poll for The Sunday times finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don't want Mrs May to fight the next general election. — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2017 The YouGov poll finds 23% of all voters want Mrs May to go now, 48% want her to go before 2022, & 30% wanted to fight the next GE as leader — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2017 So Mrs May ignored Sir Lynton Crosby's advice not to hold…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Discussing the Brexit talks with Jonathan Portes

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Discussing the Brexit talks with Jonathan Portes

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The PB/Polling Matters podcast returns with a review of the summer and in-depth interview on the Brexit talks and where Britain goes from here with Jonathan Portes. Jonathan is a Professor of Economics at King’s College London and a Senior Fellow for UK in a Changing Europe. An expert in matters of immigration and labour markets, Jonathan was Chief Economist at the DWP from 2002 to 2008 and at the Cabinet Office from 2008 to 2011. He was also Director…

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Towards a rational immigration policy

Towards a rational immigration policy

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Turkey has mandatory conscription for men between 20 and 41.  Gay men, however, are exempt.  According to the official commentary to the army’s health regulation, to be exempted from service, “documentary evidence must prove that the defects in sexual behaviour are obvious and would create problems when revealed in a military context.”  Many gay men have to endure pseudo-scientific tests designed to appraise both their homosexuality and the extent to which it might render them “unfit” for service. Some are…

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