I now have huge doubts about the political judgment of Philip Hammond
EXC: In small hours of election morning Phil Hammond texted Boris to say he would back him for leader — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) September 23, 2017 Hammond said he would back Boris to run a triumvirate with himself and David Davis to replace Theresa May on election night — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) September 23, 2017 Hammond leadership plan to replace May: he would run economy, DD would run Brexit, Boris would "run the shop" as front man. See Sunday Times…
How the 2017 general election result would have looked under different voting systems
If Jeremy Corbyn does become Prime Minister I expect electoral reform, as part of wider constitutional reform, will happen, without the need of plebiscites on the matter. Whilst Labour leaders do say in opposition they favour electoral reform but then ignore it when they are elected, like a brilliant thought during an orgasm, it gets lost in the ecstasy of ‘victory’. I think Corbyn will not do a Blair on the topic of electoral reform. The chart above, from the…
The reaction to Theresa May’s Florence speech – as we are set to effectively remain in the EU until 2021
Summary – We will pay an unspecified amount for a two year transition period and bespoke trade deal. — Jason Farrell (@JasonFarrellSky) September 22, 2017 Not clear that TM will have blown away the stumbling blocks with this speech. Overall tone is appeal to EU Leaders to see UK as a partner — Jason Farrell (@JasonFarrellSky) September 22, 2017 Four months ago May was outside No 10 accusing the EU of rigging our election. How times have changed… — Ben…
The war without end
Picture: Not the last Tory PM to have their premiership destroyed by Europe Can Mrs May’s speech today accomplish what every Tory PM has failed to achieve in the last 40 years and finally unite the Tory party over Europe? I was born a few months before Margaret Thatcher became PM, which will make me forty next year, in that time frame every Tory Prime Minister has had their premiership either ended or destroyed by European Community/Union affairs, and it…
Tonight’s by election previews
Three council by elections tonight: one Conservative defence and two Labour.@andrewteale's previews: https://t.co/reCxOxpPMB — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 21, 2017 TSE
Every day Mrs May remains PM she’s buying the Tories at least one week in opposition.
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% (+2)CON: 40% (-1)LDEM: 9% (-)UKIP: 2% (-1)GRN: 1% (-1) via @IpsosMORI, 15 – 18 SepChgs. w July — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 21, 2017 % of public who find [X] to be a capable leader: T. May: 45% (-23)J. Corbyn: 38% (+14) via @IpsosMORI, 15 – 18 SepChgs. w/ Sep 2016 — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 21, 2017 % of public who find [X] to be of sound judgement: T. May: 36% (-20)J. Corbyn: 40%…
The buzzword bingo on Theresa May’s Florence speech
Ladbrokes have a market up on what Theresa May might say in her Florence speech tomorrow, and I get the feeling that this is another market that will help contribute to the Ladbrokes Christmas bonus fund. If I had to choose I’d back the 12/1 on ‘Global Trading Power’, but if PBers spot any value, please let me know. TSE