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There’s the potential for Labour to get a long term polling boost because of their anti-semitism issues

There’s the potential for Labour to get a long term polling boost because of their anti-semitism issues

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Chart from polling conducted by YouGov for the Campaign against Antisemitism Older voters are more likely to endorse at least one anti-semitic statement, and remember older voters are more likely turn out to vote. Conventional wisdom suggests that Labour will take a long term hit in the polls because of the recent coverage of their anti-semitism issues but recently we’ve seen conventional wisdom proven to be very wrong, this might be another example. Before anyone accuses me saying older voters,…

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Alastair Meeks looks ahead to next month’s local elections

Alastair Meeks looks ahead to next month’s local elections

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Every year, the politically engaged pore over the local elections, seeking to make deductions about what they mean for national politics. They do so undeterred by the fact that the relationship between local elections and national elections is not all that strong and they disregard the fact that local elections have an independent purpose from acting as a proxy national opinion poll. It’s usually a largely fruitless exercise that serves only to keep wonks occupied until Eurovision hits our screens….

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast

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Corbyn’s declining poll ratings, economic trust and who would vote for a new party anyway? On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss: 1)    Jeremy Corbyn’s declining poll ratings and whether Russia or the ongoing anti-Semitism row is more to blame. 2)    A new poll shows May and Hammond leading Corbyn and McDonnell +13 points on the economy. But is the economy as all-important politically as we once thought? 3)     David Miliand’s favourabilty ratings – how do they compare to his…

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Flotsam and jetsam. Britain’s quiet coastal disaster

Flotsam and jetsam. Britain’s quiet coastal disaster

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They say that if the outer 50 kilometres of Australia were to fall into the sea, the population of that island continent would drop by 85%. Britain doesn’t have the large hinterland that Australia possesses, but if Britain were to be attacked by a giant cookie cutter from space, it’s not at all clear that some of the places crimped off would get any less attention than before. The whole idea of going to the seaside is a relatively new…

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How Labour need to stop worrying and learn to love the bomb

How Labour need to stop worrying and learn to love the bomb

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Picture credit: The MOD twitter feed Despite its relative lack of salience as a motivating issue for voters there is an interesting discussion to be had on how a Corbynite Labour party can use defence policy to attack the Conservatives in an area of perceived strength. The last few decades of British defence policy have been characterised by constant out-of-area and expeditionary deployments that have been hindered by massive personnel reductions and scandalously poor procurement and program management. At some…

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Despite 34% voters thinking Jeremy Corbyn personally has anti-Semitic views Boris Johnson’s approval ratings are near identical to Corbyn

Despite 34% voters thinking Jeremy Corbyn personally has anti-Semitic views Boris Johnson’s approval ratings are near identical to Corbyn

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Further proof that Johnson’s going to pull out of another Tory leadership contest? I’m a fan of approval ratings as they are a very good pointers to general elections, as Mrs May’s alarming collapse in the closing stages of the 2017 general election confirmed.  So this morning’s debut poll by DeltaPoll caught my eye for this very reason. For many Tories Boris Johnson is the man to win the Tories a majority in 2022 against Corbyn but if his ratings…

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So who wants to be the British Emmanuel Macron? There’s £50 million worth of support waiting for you

So who wants to be the British Emmanuel Macron? There’s £50 million worth of support waiting for you

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Tomorrow’s Observer… In development for over a year. Former Tory and Labour donors involved. Plans for radical policies from left and right. But… will this plan for a #newparty get anywhere? ????? pic.twitter.com/A8qs4L1cGR — Michael Savage (@michaelsavage) April 7, 2018 I’m not sure £50 million is enough to overturn the inbuilt bias that FPTP gives the Tories and Labour nor the rules on election spending. Since the 23rd of June 2016 we regularly get stories about a new (centrist) party…

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The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast

The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi focus on recent polling of Labour members by YouGov looking at Corbyn’s job approval rating and their reactions to the recent anti-Semitism row engulfing the party. Leo looks at how these results compare to a similar survey this time last year and Keiran has a bone to pick with how the anti-Semitism numbers were presented in the media. Elsewhere on the show, Keiran and Leo discuss the latest revelations in the…

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