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Taking stock of Brexit with fewer than 60 days until we Leave

Taking stock of Brexit with fewer than 60 days until we Leave

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Let’s take stock of where we are right now. Most of the leading chains of supermarkets, together with KFC, Pret A Manger and McDonald’s, have warned that a no-deal Brexit would put Britain’s food security at risk. The Health Secretary has confirmed that medicines are going to be prioritised over food, which is simultaneously very sensible and absolutely nuts. He has also confirmed that a lot more needs to be done to safeguard supplies of medicines, with over half of…

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Disastrously successful. The EU’s Brexit negotiation

Disastrously successful. The EU’s Brexit negotiation

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn1VxaMEjRU I’m going to go all Godwin on you. Sorry. When people talk about the causes of World War Two, they often mention how Hitler was emboldened by his early success remilitarising the Rhineland without any real consequence, showing that the Treaty of Versailles was violable. This was not, however, the first occasion on which the settlement of the First World War was set aside by the losers. At 100 years’ distance, Germany was the loser of the First World…

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Meanwhile in other news

Meanwhile in other news

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More than 175,000 jobs will be lost from struggling high street stores over the next year as the boom in internet shopping hastens their decline, researchers predict https://t.co/NvhwLmDTW3 — The Times and The Sunday Times (@thetimes) January 22, 2019 What’s happening on the High Street & other developments This month, the newspapers, television, radio and social media have been consumed by Brexit. You might have noticed. In other news, Marks & Spencer have announced the closure of another 17 branches….

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Is a no-deal Brexit now the most popular outcome with the public?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Is a no-deal Brexit now the most popular outcome with the public?

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at polling around a no-deal Brexit to see if commentators suggesting that it is the most popular outcome with the public are right. Also featured on this week’s show is a new report by UK in a Changing Europe, which covers a host of topics on Brexit including support for a second referendum and how Brexit identity appears to be trumping party identity. You can find the report here. Listen…

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Theresa May – the wrong woman for her time?

Theresa May – the wrong woman for her time?

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So this is how constitutional settlements are brokered: not at a measured pace with Olympian detachment and the wisdom of Solomon but at high speed in a blind funk with a deal cobbled together in shadowy alcoves. It’s not pretty. It’s also something that the Prime Minister must hate. Successful governing politicians who have to answer to the electorate often try to avoid making hard choices. Angela Merkel has been so effective at this that her name has been verbed…

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Desperate times. A new way out of the Brexit impasse

Desperate times. A new way out of the Brexit impasse

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8/ So the Government can't pass its deal The Government can't negotiate a new deal There is no Parliamentary support for No Deal The Opposition can't force an election The Tories can't call a Leadership challenge Immovable object meets brick fucking wall pic.twitter.com/qL16HuqMDO — James Graham (@mrJamesGraham) January 16, 2019 The train is hurtling down the track and the cliff edge of 11pm on 29 March 2019 approaches. The overwhelming majority of the House of Commons is unwilling to countenance…

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A 16/1 tip to start off your Sunday

A 16/1 tip to start off your Sunday

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Why I’m betting on Farage to become an MP in 2019 I suspect whatever the outcome on Brexit Nigel Farage will be screaming betrayal as it will not be the precise type of Brexit he wants. I expect that screaming will be heard on Jupiter if Article 50 is extended or revoked. If Parliament does what pre referendum Farage suggested in the event of 52%/48% result in 2016 and hold another referendum then Farage might be very cross. So how…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Deal or no deal. Plus are the Tories really ahead in the polls?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Deal or no deal. Plus are the Tories really ahead in the polls?

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On this week’s podcast Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss the fallout from a hectic week in Westminster. They ask whether a General Election, 2nd referendum or ‘no deal Brexit’ have become more or less likely and explain why politicians claiming that the Tories are ahead in the polls are not telling the full story. Listen to this week’s episode below: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet