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Author: TSE

The Trump buzzword bingo market

The Trump buzzword bingo market

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Donald Trump is 3/1 to mention "Liverpool" during his press conference tomorrow.Anything else we should add to the Buzzword Bingo list?https://t.co/7uuzMAdMxE pic.twitter.com/4P6QlWo49Y — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) June 3, 2019 What will Trump say in his press conference today? Because of my consistent record in these buzzword bingo markets I view these markets as my contribution to the Christmas bonus fund for Shadsy even before we consider that someone as volatile and rambling as Donald Trump is the focus of this…

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This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

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Given what is stake and the egos involved I cannot see the candidates not taking this contest to the members so that’s why I’m backing the 1/5 Paddy Power are offering. After Leavers conspired to hand the crown to Mrs May in 2016 and bypassing the members there’ll be a desire for the members to take part, as a Tory member there’s a real desire amongst my fellow members to have the final say, something that I’d expect to be…

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Michael Gove – the case against

Michael Gove – the case against

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From a PBer teacher who remembers when Gove was EdSec Michael Gove has many admirers – most notably, several on this forum, including a former Labour MP and a number of Conservative and UKIP voters. He is an experienced minister, having held office for nine years (one of them outside the cabinet). He is able, articulate, polite, and from a very modest background. He is well connected in the media, has a remarkable imagination and drive, and stands out, frankly,…

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Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

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I am running to be Conservative Party leader and Prime Minister – go to https://t.co/MShWaI9qmR to join the journey of national renewal. #BackSamsPlan pic.twitter.com/7mVkytZAm6 — Sam Gyimah (@SamGyimah) June 2, 2019 Sam Gyimah might end up feeling like a bacon eater in a vegan restaurant if he thinks backing a people’s vote will help him in the Tory leadership contest. https://t.co/PqYLtPRdDV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 2, 2019 But like Rory Stewart I think Sam Gyimah might be focussing on winning…

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The Saturday evening open thread

The Saturday evening open thread

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHbVVGPFvio Video – The highlights of the greatest comeback since Lazarus Tonight’s Champions League final and Mike’s holiday means PB isn’t going to edited in the usual way this weekend, so it’ll feature open threads like this and threads written well in advance. So if any major does happen this weekend, I’m not ignoring I’ll eventually cover it. If we get any polls this weekend it’ll be interesting to see if they match the pattern of YouGov with the Lib…

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Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

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World exclusive: Trump backs Boris to be Britain’s next PM with highly controversial intervention into Tory contest. "I know the different players. But I think Boris would do a very good job. He would be excellent”.https://t.co/Qt0zjwwePJ — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2019 I’m not sure being Donald Trump’s preferred choice as Prime Minister will ultimately help Boris Johnson. TSE

Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

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We like to think of ourselves as a temperamentally moderate country, eager to split any difference, respect other viewpoints, find the middle ground. But the sobering lesson from the European election is that – on this issue, at least, we really are not. There are basically three options open to us. We can opt for a hard Brexit. That got 34.0% of the vote (Brexit+UKIP). We can opt to stay in the EU after all. That got 34.9% of the…

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Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

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Right now British politics and British political betting is consumed by the race for next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister. Conventional wisdom on both is that Boris Johnson is the man to beat. He has traded below evens on Betfair for the roles and after an initial rush of excitement, he has settled down in both next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister markets at about 5/2 at the time of writing. Certainly there is evidence to back up…

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