Turns out 52% of the country are wise. https://t.co/Ais2UKHVqr — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 23, 2019 52% of voters are correct is not a sentence I expected to write but here we are. This finding isn’t a surprise, after all the star of the film, Bruce Willis, has himself said Die Hard is definitely not a Christmas film, after all film released in July 1988 can hardly be categorised as a Christmas film can it? TSE
In 1997 Labour swept to a landslide victory sweeping all parts of Britain. In Scotland winning 45.6% of the vote and 77.8% of the seats. In England winning 43.5% of the votes and 62.0% of the seats. One of Blair’s first and most consequential acts was to bring in devolution to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland but left English laws controlled by Parliament with no answer to the West Lothian Question. Supposedly a decision that was intended to “kill…
When Boris Johnson’s autobiography eventually (inevitably) comes out it will be one of the most fascinating political books of its time. Some of it might even be true. It will probably write about the 2019 election as being as much the Boris election as the Brexit election, a perspective that wouldn’t be entirely driven by pure egomania. Governing parties usually just sink over time. Rebounding upwards after almost a decade in office is rare. But was it born of skill,…
As I wrote in the run-up to the general election, political betting markets can be lucrative ones for punters. One of the so-called ‘iron laws’ of Conservative leadership contests is that the front runner does not win it. In 2019, Boris Johnson finally put the myth to bed. Labour on the other hand have a different past, much more content to back the front runner and at time they have proved to be coronations rather than contests. 2019 has the…
The Conservatives are triumphant. Labour have been smashed, the Lib Dems have actually regressed. The Tories may not have managed a landslide in the technical sense of getting a majority of 100, but they weren’t far away and their lead of 160 over the second-placed party is very handy indeed. They will be as dominant in Parliament as the Conservatives were in the 1987 Parliament or the Labour party was after the 2005 election. The Conservatives will take this as…
Proverbial wisdom tells us that success has many fathers, while failure is an orphan. It’s a saying that appears to have by-passed the Labour party at least, since their general response to the election has been to hurl fistfuls of paternity tests at each other in a way that would send Jeremy Kyle off for a cold shower and a lie down. It’s been an analytically productive grand bun fight at least. While the pollsters are still nursing their hangovers,…
First and foremost, congratulations to all 18 winning candidates and commiserations to all the losing ones. I will be covering plenty of information including what next?, future prediction, etc. With all the focus on the word “Brexit”, was this election really about brexit and did some parties help other and dent others? find out below First up we have the good old battle between D.U.P and the Alliance. Belfast East (Alliance Party vs DUP) DUP had a 8,500 majority going…
The age at which a person becomes more likely to vote Conservative than Labour is 39 – down from 47 at the last electionhttps://t.co/hC7KufOxBl pic.twitter.com/UFter2WicP — YouGov (@YouGov) December 17, 2019 YouGov have published some detailed analysis into how Britain voted last Thursday, I’m quite intrigued that the pivot point for someone more likely to vote Conservative has come down from 47 years old to 39 years old. So it isn’t just the oldies that vote Conservative. There’s a lot…