Today’s must read
Something for those who are betting and expecting a (large) Labour majority to consider. TSE
Brexiteers, you may need a stiff drink
Brexit isn’t working Brexit isn’t going very well in the eyes of the public, this finding from Ipsos isn’t atypical from what other pollsters find. The reality is neither major GB wide parties are where the public currently are. I acknowledge that thinking Brexit is going negatively that there’s no automaticity that people will want to Rejoin. The reality is the Brexit status quo is unsustainable and eventually one or both parties will give the people what they want, that’s…
Sunak, Hunt, and more cuts
If Rishi Sunak was hoping today’s pay review decision might lead to a polling boost he might be disappointed. First of all these pay increases are likely to lead further public sector spending which will put a strain on public services which the voters will not like. Secondly the public will be unhappy with a 6% rise, with just 28% thinking it is right. TSE
The next government
Smarkets have this market up on the type of government formed after the next election. For those who still have doubts about if Starmer will win a majority given the level of gains he needs to win a majority. There may well be some value in here, though I would advise reading the terms and conditions. The one thing I feel confident in laying would the chance of a coalition featuring Labour & The SNP. I suspect the SNP price…
35 years ago today Die Hard was released in cinemas
A film released in the summer is quite rightly viewed by Brits as a non Christmas film. The people have spoken. TSE
Starmer is in tune with the nation
One of Labour’s flagship policies for government is to strip private schools of their charitable status. I’m slightly supportive of this policy and I say that as somebody who benefitted from a private education I would recommend it to any parent but I do wonder if these tax breaks could be better spent elsewhere in education. Recently it was announced ‘Almost 600 [state] schools in England are undergoing urgent structural checks. Many more unaware of danger of collapse posed by…
The irresistible force meets the movable object?
Like Adam Drummond my attention was first drawn to the ratings of Liz Truss. I’ve never taken drugs but the Liz Truss premiership is what I’ve imagine an acid trip would feel like but I digress. The thing that also should be noted is just how bad Sunak is doing compared to major party leaders elected since 2010 who lasted more than 49 days whereas Starmer is doing better than Corbyn and Miliband at the equivalent stage. In the last…
Sunak’s Savile strategy may not fix it for the Tories
As we can see with the tweet above Sunak is going to smear Starmer on a issue that Sunak knows is wrong. We know Sunak knows it is wrong because Boris Johnson tried this exact smear in early 2022 and Sunak publicly rebuked his boss for the strategy. I think Starmer was expecting this kind of strategy from the Tories which is why he got his retaliation in first to nullify these attacks. But it is rather depressing that as…