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Author: TSE

Brexit behaving badly

Brexit behaving badly

Brexit isn’t going well in the eyes of the public, what I particularly like about this YouGov polling is that when they ask the public about rejoining the single market they add the important rider about free movement. With free movement dominating the campaign it is interesting the public are happy to undo that key element of the Brexit campaign and deal. What really stands out as well is this ‘Leave voters who currently intend to vote Labour would also…

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It’s Acropolis Now for Rishi Sunak

It’s Acropolis Now for Rishi Sunak

Causing a ruckus over the Elgin Marbles with Greece is not going to shift many votes, Rishi, go big or go Homer, I can only assume Sunak was on the Zeus when he came up with this ploy, he must have lost his marbles, even most Tories and Leavers want the marbles returned to Greece. The sad thing how obvious Sunak’s ploy is, there’s going to be Hellas to pay. My Apollo-gies for the cheesy puns. TSE

It’s not the economy, stupid?

It’s not the economy, stupid?

It must be the free market Thatcherite in me speaking but we must be mad, literally mad, as a nation to be permitting the destruction of our economy, it is like watching a nation busily engaged in heaping up its own funeral pyre. Part of me thinks this polling is a bit like the polling that shows the public happy to pay extra taxes to fund schools and hospitals but seldom voting for a party that actually proposes such a…

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It’s 52% vs 48% all over again

It’s 52% vs 48% all over again

Even if you don’t exclude Don’t Knows the 28% is higher than the Tory voting intention figure in recent polls which means it could be launchpad for a Tory revival. I stick to my previous assessment that foreign affairs will not shift voting intentions. TSE

Will Boris Johnson win a seat at the next election?

Will Boris Johnson win a seat at the next election?

This market from Ladbrokes on whether our last but one First Lord of the Treasury will win a seat at the next election and I understand why No is such the overwhelming favourite. Boris Johnson is earning serious money and may not want to give that up or have to declare it, nor does leading the Tories in opposition seem appealing to somebody as famously lazy and distracted as Boris Johnson. However I get the he and his allies think…

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It’s not you babe, it’s me

It’s not you babe, it’s me

Today’s Sunday Times has this interesting analogy from Team Sunak about the next general election At Kerridge’s restaurant last Tuesday, a member of Rishi Sunak’s team, who is the victim of a recent break-up, was seeking solace in the Tories’ now troubled relationship with the electorate. “The Conservative party has misbehaved and has been put in the spare room,” he suggested. “We haven’t yet been kicked out of the house completely.” The reason for his hope was the continuing evidence…

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A 14% return in just over a month?

A 14% return in just over a month?

Ladbrokes have this market on whether a vote of no confidence will be triggered in Rishi Sunak this year. For one to be triggered 15% of Tory MPs need to send a letter to the chairman of the 1922 committee requesting such a vote. I cannot see a trigger event or events during the rest of the year that will see that threshold breached. So far in 2023 we’ve seen a plethora of record breaking by election defeats for Sunak,…

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