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Author: Mike Smithson

Will Liz Truss ever be able to live this down?

Will Liz Truss ever be able to live this down?

Her short period at Number 10 saw one of the most disastrous runs on the pound ever which had a huge impact on the country’s finances. A question now is whether this has totally ended the political ambitions of Liz Truss or will she be treated seriously again. .I think she’s finished Mike Smithson

Did Trump fundraise from his election lies?

Did Trump fundraise from his election lies?

The Washington Post is reporting that federal prosecutors probing the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol have sought a wide range of Trump documents related to fundraising after the 2020 election,. They are seeking to determine if Trump or his advisers scammed donors by using false claims. about voter fraud to raise money, This comes on top of the criminal charges he is facing in New York and as well as likely action in the state of Georgia….

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Criminal defendant Trump takes a tumble in the polls.

Criminal defendant Trump takes a tumble in the polls.

If this polling has it right then just a quarter of American adults now a favourable view of Donald Trump and this really puts into question whether he has any chance at all of making a comeback. The images that have been widely circulated of his court appearance before Easter have been dreadful and even large parts of his base are struggling to go on backing their man. Yet WH2024 betting punters appear not to have noticed and he’s still…

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The strike by doctors is a huge challenge for Sunak

The strike by doctors is a huge challenge for Sunak

Several of the papers this morning lead off on a strike by junior doctors – something that takes us into uncharted territory. Quite where this is going is hard to say and my sense is that the doctors will have a fair bit of public support the fall back on. Whatever as the Guardian points out we are getting a closer to the general election and we are only a few weeks away from the May local elections which could…

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Trump’s indictment not going down well with independents

Trump’s indictment not going down well with independents

The polling that should worry the ex-President It won’t be long before WH2024 starts in earnest and the big question is whether it will be between 78 year old Trump and 81 year old Biden. These are the ages the two men will be on election day They are both strong betting favourites to be their party’s nominees though I have serious doubts about them and the above polling is hardly going to help Trump who is facing criminal charges…

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The Tory leadership is wrong on Scottish tactical voting

The Tory leadership is wrong on Scottish tactical voting

The leader of the Scottish Conservatives Douglas Ross has been wrapped on the knuckles by the party’s London bosses for suggesting that voters north of the border should tactically vote Labour in certain seats in order to keep the SNP out. He’s been forced to withdraw comments following the intervention of the national party. Ross is right here and the Sunak leadership is wrong and have shown that they simply don’t understand Scottish politics. For ever since the huge rise…

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The polls are definitely tightening

The polls are definitely tightening

The GE2019 CON “don’t knows” are moving back I always like looking at voting polls in a group and the above table from Wikipedia shows what’s happened over the last few weeks or so. Gone are the days when the Tories were 25 or 30% behind and we see almost the majority of current surveys with leads in the teens rather than 20s. Looking at the fine detail the change is not driven by fewer 2019 CON voters saying they’re…

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