Marf on the eve of the big gathering in Paris
Politicalbetting's cartoonist, Marf, on the latest from France pic.twitter.com/yRwcazf2jk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2015
If the LDs experience is anything to go by then major party status for UKIP is bad news for the blues
Farage and Carswell pic.twitter.com/LN9BCE7d18 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2015 The chances of the purples fading must now be lower One of the features of general elections in recent times is that the Lib Dems always seem to get a boost during the campaign. Thus a 4-5% increase in their final share at the election compared with pre-formal campaign polls has almost been the norm. What has driven this is the extra attention they get from the broadcast media…
Legalising fox-hunting: A vote winner for the Tories or a vote loser?
Lifting the ban on fox-hunting – how supporters of the main parties divide pic.twitter.com/YTq1r57Eff — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2015 YouGov finds that the Right-Left divide over fox-hunting continues With the Tories reported to planning legalise fox-hunting if they are returned with a majority YouGov has had a look at the issue and finds support for current ban, But as the chart shows there’s a sharp right-left split on the issue with Tory voters opposing the ban the LAB…
Methinks that Dave has made a mistake on the TV debates
David Cameron will refuse to take part in TV debates if Greens not included, says @bbcnickrobinson — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) January 8, 2015 Ed Miliband on TV debates: "The Prime Minister should be able to stand on his record and stop running scared." — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) January 8, 2015 It is hard to fault OFCOM logic that UKIP but not Greens are a major party but @David_Cameron is just too scared to debate @Nigel_Farage — Mark Reckless (@MarkReckless) January…
Ofcom’s decision not to classify the Greens as a “major party” has wider consequences than just the debates
Guardian's @patrickwintour on Ofcom decision not to classify Greens as "major party" for GE15 http://t.co/BYOYE7Uu57 pic.twitter.com/0HRwgv9cnX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2015 This morning’s Ofcom ruling on what should be the “major parties” for the general election will impact on the overall amount of TV and radio coverage the parties get during the offical “short” election campaign which starts at the beginning of April. UKIP, following its Euro2014 triumph and now having 2 MPs, always look set to be…
A week into the new year and the betting markets still very uncertain about what’s going to happen
First week's trading on SportingIndex http://t.co/8brmIVQzQn commons seats almost no change on 2014. LAB by 5 MPs pic.twitter.com/HDm1jKrzTc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2015 Only change a slight uptick for SNP Yesterday evening I was at the BBC offices next to parliament to record a discussion with Ipsos-MORI boss, Ben Page, about the coming election and what’s going to happen. This is due to go out on Radio 4’s “The Week in Westminster” programme at 11am on Saturday morning….
If UKIP is a bit on the wane then maybe there are some good bets out there
A look at the seats where the purples are favourite Great Yarmouth From @LordAshcroft Constituency polling. http://t.co/sY9l3rAerf Great Yarmouth where UKIP is 5/4 favourite to win pic.twitter.com/6PKHWbEhbb — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2015 Thanet South Thanet South polling from @LordAshcroft where UKIP's Nigel Farage is odds-on favourite to win pic.twitter.com/FBmz8yhp7Y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2015 Thurrock @LordAshcroft polling of the 3 way marginal of Thurrock where UKIP 5/6 betting favourite pic.twitter.com/xRAsKWSAcV — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2015…
PB’s cartoonist, Marf, on the news from Paris
Marf's reaction to the terrible news from Paris pic.twitter.com/74V9Eko9Xm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2015