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Local By-Election Preview : August 25th 2016

Local By-Election Preview : August 25th 2016

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The Lochs (Non Party Independent defence) on Fife Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 35, Scottish National Party 26, Liberal Democrats 10, Conservatives 3, Independents 3, Non Party Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 5) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,380, 349 (46%) Non Party Independent 1,025 (28%) Scottish National Party 708 (19%) Independents 165 (4%) Conservatives 99 (3%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 106,754 (59%) LEAVE 75,466 (41%) on a…

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Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

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Don Brind on Smith’s message to 2015 Corbyn voters with buyers’ remorse “I’ll tell you what sums up Jeremy Corbyn for me. When we had a march through Westminster he made sure he was right at the front and carrying a banner. But when it came to the hard graft – talking to businesses and government he was nowhere to be seen.” Anna Turley the MP for Redcar is perched on a desk in her office in front of her…

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Tonight’s ten local by-elections with UKIP, CON, LAB and the LDs defending seats

Tonight’s ten local by-elections with UKIP, CON, LAB and the LDs defending seats

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Pelham (Lab defence) on Gravesham Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 23, Labour 21 (Conservative majority of 2) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,792, 1,708, 1,625 (50%) Conservatives 1,246, 1,131, 1,038 (35%) Green Party 525 (15%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 18,876 (35%) LEAVE 35,643 (65%) on a turnout of 75% Candidates duly nominated: Conrad Broadley (Con), Emma Foreman (Eng Dem), Marna Gilligan (Green), Gary Harding (UKIP), Sharan Virk (Lib Dem), Jenny Wallace (Lab)…

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Don Brind says there’s no solid evidence for making Corbyn odds on favourite. He could lose.

Don Brind says there’s no solid evidence for making Corbyn odds on favourite. He could lose.

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Momentum might being beaten at their own game Back in 2007 I emailed Mike Smithson: “You should advise your readers: ‘don’t bet on an election unless you understand the voting system’” At the time the pollsters and the bookies were making Alan Johnson favourite to become Labour deputy leader. I was a member of Harriet Harman’s campaign and I knew how much effort was going into getting second preferences from other candidates. In the event, the second preferences from John…

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This week’s by-elections. SNP and LAB both win and lose a seat from each other

This week’s by-elections. SNP and LAB both win and lose a seat from each other

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Irvine West (SNP defence) on North Ayrshire First Preference Votes: Scottish National Party 1,164 (37% unchanged), Labour 1,029 (33% -7%), Conservative 639 (21% +9%), Socialist Labour Party 131 (4% +3%), Green Party 94 (3%, no candidate in 2012), Liberal Democrat 48 (2% -3%) SNP lead of 135 (4%) on a swing of 3.5% from Lab to SNP Labour GAIN from SNP on the sixth count Renfrew South and Gallowhill (Lab defence) on Renfrewshire First Preference Votes: Scottish National Party 1,309…

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Tonight’s Local By-Elections : Previewed by Harry Hayfield

Tonight’s Local By-Elections : Previewed by Harry Hayfield

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Irvine West (SNP defence) on North Ayrshire Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 12, Labour 11, Independents 6, Conservative 1 (No Overall Control, SNP short by 4) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 691, 1,374 E (40%) Scottish National Party 1,624, 265 (37%) Conservatives 614 (12%) Liberal Democrats 246 (5%) Independent 4% Socialist Labour Party 81 (1%) Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition 51 (1%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 38,394 (57%) LEAVE 29,110…

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Local By-Election Results : UKIP & LAB gain and lose a seat from each other – LD revival continues

Local By-Election Results : UKIP & LAB gain and lose a seat from each other – LD revival continues

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Beaver (Lab defence) on Ashford Result: United Kingdom Independence Party 373 (42% +11%), Labour 243 (27% -4%), Conservative 240 (27% unchanged), Green Party 31 (3%, no candidate in 2015) United Kingdom Independence Party GAIN from Labour with a majority of 130 (15%) on a swing of 7.5% from Labour to UKIP East Brighton (Lab defence) on Brighton and Hove Result: Labour 1,488 (58% +11%), Conservatives 514 (20% -3%), Green Party 286 (11% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 152 (6%, no…

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Local By-Elections : 4th August is Super Thursday with 4 Con, 2 Lab, and 1 UKIP defence

Local By-Elections : 4th August is Super Thursday with 4 Con, 2 Lab, and 1 UKIP defence

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Beaver (Lab defence) on Ashford Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 34, Labour 4, Independents 3, Liberal Democrat 1, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 25) Result of ward at last election (2015) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 817, 645 (31%) United Kingdom Independence Party 812 (31%) Conservatives 715, 423 (27%) Green Party 195, 135 (7%) Independent 126 (5%) Referendum Result: REMAIN 28,314 (41%) LEAVE 41,472 (59%) on a turnout of 77% Candidates duly nominated: Jo…

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