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Northern Ireland Assembly Election Result : March 2nd 2017

Northern Ireland Assembly Election Result : March 2nd 2017

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Changes in seats are based on readjusted Assembly calculations Unionist Bloc Democratic Unionist Party 227,270 votes (28.26% -0.90%) winning 28 seats (-6 seats) Ulster Unionists 103,314 votes (12.84% +0.28%) winning 10 seats (unchanged) Traditional Unionist Voice 20,523 votes (2.55% -0.87%) winning 1 seat (unchanged) Progressive Unionist Party 5,590 votes (0.69% -0.16%) winning 0 seats (unchanged) Northern Ireland Conservatives 2,399 (0.30%, no candidates in 2016) winning 0 seats (unchanged) United Kingdom Independence Party 1,579 votes (0.20% -1.26%) winning 0 seats (unchanged)…

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A grim set of local by-elections for Corbyn’s LAB losing a seat in Salford to CON and seeing average vote share down 13.4%

A grim set of local by-elections for Corbyn’s LAB losing a seat in Salford to CON and seeing average vote share down 13.4%

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Mudeford and Friars Cliffe on Christchurch (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservative 629 (47% -9%), Independent 466 (35%, no candidate at last election), Labour 91 (7% -9%), UKIP 85 (6% -22%), Green Party 72 (5%, no candidate at last election) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 163 (12%) on a notional swing of 22% from Con to Ind Redcar and Cleveland Hutton (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservative 860 (57% +3%), Liberal Democrat 326 (22% +5%),…

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Local By-Election and Northern Ireland Election Previews : March 2nd 2017

Local By-Election and Northern Ireland Election Previews : March 2nd 2017

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Mudeford and Friars Cliffe on Christchurch (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 19, Independents 2, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 16) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,900, 1,897, 1,437 (56%) United Kingdom Independence Party 945 (28%) Labour 558, 515 (16%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 12,782 (41%) LEAVE 18,268 (59%) on a turnout of 79% Candidates duly nominated: Fiona Cownie (Green), Sheila Gray (Ind),…

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Theresa Maybe? Definitely not

Theresa Maybe? Definitely not

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It’s only eight weeks since The Economist’s cover story but the mood has changed decisively At the turn of the year Theresa May was besieged by many similar opinion pieces, several of them prompted by Sir Ivan Rogers’ resignation on 3rd January. Indecisiveness was the central charge, specifically over Brexit but also with regard to the operation of her Downing Street office and some rushed and/or reversed policy announcements. Her predecessor’s alleged nickname for her – “Submarine” – was used against her in articles…

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Don Brind explores the intriguing silence of Len McCluskey in the post Copeland debate

Don Brind explores the intriguing silence of Len McCluskey in the post Copeland debate

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Has he started to worry about the Corbyn effect on working class voters? Some time ago I went up to introduce myself to Angela Rayner. I wanted to congratulate her on her debut speech to the Labour conference as Shadow Education Secretary. “You don’t need to introduce yourself, she said. “ I know who you are. You helped get me here” She went on to remind me that she had taken part in a training scheme for potential parliamentary candidates…

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During February the Tories have defended NINE local by-elections – they only managed to retain TWO

During February the Tories have defended NINE local by-elections – they only managed to retain TWO

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Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Summary : February 2017 February local by election aggregate % vote shares with changes on last time CON 24%-5 LAB 24%-5 LD 28%+18 UKIP 9%-6 OTH 9%+3 Liberal Democrats 7,162 votes (28% +18% on last time) winning 7 seats (+4 seats on last time) Labour 6,305 votes (24% -5% on last time) winning 5 seats (+1 seat on last time) Conservatives 6,255 votes (24% -5% on last time) winning 2 seats (-7 seats on last time)…

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Mega By-Election Week (Day Two: Take Two) : February 23rd 2017

Mega By-Election Week (Day Two: Take Two) : February 23rd 2017

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D-Day. The day Doris Day came to Copeland pic.twitter.com/Laa4WYkxVp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2017 https://twitter.com/pgo1980/status/834700676710162432 Copeland Parliamentary by-election (Lab defence, caused by resignation of sitting member) Result at last general election (2015): Labour 16,750 (42%), Conservative 14,186 (36%), United Kingdom Independence Party 6,148 (16%), Liberal Democrat 1,368 (3%), Green Party 1,179 (3%) EU Referendum Result (estimate): REMAIN 40.15% LEAVE 59.85% Candidates duly nominated: Michael Guest (Ind), Rebecca Hanson (Lib Dem), Trudy Harrison (Con), Ray Ivinson (Ind), Jack Lennox…

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Mega By-Election Week (Day Two) plus a Copeland cartoon

Mega By-Election Week (Day Two) plus a Copeland cartoon

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Winklebury on Basingstoke and Deane (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Labour 824 (62% +32%), Conservative 472 (35% -11%), Liberal Democrat 42 (3% -3%) Labour GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 352 (27%) on a swing of 21.5% from Con to Lab Chigwell Village on Epping Forest (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2016): Conservatives 35, Ratepayers 13, Independents 3, Liberal Democrats 3, Green Party 2, United Kingdom Independence Party 2 (Conservative…

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