Browsed by
Author: Editor

The Political Betting Local By-Election Conference Bounce Index : Week One

The Political Betting Local By-Election Conference Bounce Index : Week One

Over the next few weeks the major parties will be holding their party conferences and just as in every other week there are local by-elections all over the country, therefore for the duration of this Parliament we will be keeping track of how the parties do in the week of their party conferences. This week the Liberal Democrats met in Bournemouth and there were three local by-elections in Chesterfield, Oadby and Wigston and Waveney, so let’s see how they did…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Review : September 14th 2017

Local By-Election Review : September 14th 2017

  Westexe on Mid Devon (United Kingdom Independence Party defence) Result: Conservative 279 (36% +6% on last time), Independent 179 (23% +4% on last time), Labour 164 (21% +9% on last time), Liberal Democrat 144 (19%, no candidate last time) No UKIP candidate this time (-28%), No Green candidate this time (-12%) Conservative GAIN from UKIP with a majority of 100 (13%) on a notional swing of 1% from Independent to Conservative (actual swing: 17% from UKIP to Con) Lyme…

Read More Read More

LAB the big winner in the August local by-elections with net gain of 3 and vote share up 14%

LAB the big winner in the August local by-elections with net gain of 3 and vote share up 14%

Local By-Election Summary : August 2017 Votes Cast, Share and Change on last time Labour 6,275 votes (41% +14% on last time) winning 6 seats (+3 seats on last time) Conservatives 5,893 votes (38% +3% on last time) winning 5 seats (unchanged on last time) Liberal Democrats 2,000 votes (13% +4% on last time) winning 1 seat (unchanged on last time) United Kingdom Independence Party 618 votes (4% -14% on last time) winning 0 seats (-2 seats on last time)…

Read More Read More

Local By-Elections Review : August 17th 2017

Local By-Elections Review : August 17th 2017

Park on Peterborough (Lab defence) Result: Labour 1,713 (50% unchanged on last time), Conservative 1,375 (40% +5% on last time), United Kingdom Independence Party 176 (5% -3% on last time), Liberal Democrat 109 (3% +1% on last time), Green Party 83 (2% -2% on last time) Labour HOLD with a majority of 338 (10%) on a swing from Lab to Con of 2.5% St. Mary’s on Forest Heath (Con defence) Result: Conservative 338 (50% +11% on last time), Labour 276…

Read More Read More

UKIP’s woes continue losing both by-elections they were defending on big swings to LAB

UKIP’s woes continue losing both by-elections they were defending on big swings to LAB

Meanwhile LAB gains seat from CON, and CON gains one from LAB Loughborough, Shelthorpe on Charnwood (Lab defence) Result: Labour 595 (45% +5% on last time), Conservative 591 (45%, unchanged on last time), Liberal Democrat 93 (7%, no candidate last time), United Kingdom Independence Party 29 (2%, no candidate last time) No Green Party candidate this time (-15%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 4 (0%) on a swing from Con to Lab of 2.5% St. Margaret’s with St. Nicholas…

Read More Read More

Latest by-election results and summary for July

Latest by-election results and summary for July

July 27th Local By-Election Summary Fallowfield on Manchester (Lab defence) Result: Labour 861 (77% +15% on last time), Green Party 105 (9% -13% on last time), Liberal Democrat 82 (7% +3% on last time), Conservative 72 (6% -4% on last time) Labour HOLD with a majority of 756 (68%) on a swing of 14% from Green to Labour Blandford Central on North Dorset (Ind defence) Result: Conservative 310 (37% +17% on last time), Labour 307 (36% +25% on last time),…

Read More Read More

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: End of term review

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: End of term review

As Westminster heads on its summer holidays, Keiran is joined by Polling Matters regulars Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to review the year-to-date. The trio discuss polling showing that the Tories are now seen as more divided than Labour and they also discuss Chuka Umunna’s recent tweet that seemingly challenged the Labour leadership’s position on Europe. Keiran, Rob and Leo then look at what the myriad of polling on Brexit tells us about public opinion on the subject and indeed…

Read More Read More

Good night for LAB, bad one for the LDs in this week’s local by-elections

Good night for LAB, bad one for the LDs in this week’s local by-elections

Alston Moor on Eden (Lib Dem defence) Result: Labour 407 (56%, no candidate last time), Conservative 253 (35% -10% on last time), Independent 57 (8%, no candidate last time), Green Party 13 (2%, no candidate last time) No Liberal Democrat candidate (-55%) Labour GAIN from Liberal Democrat with a majority of 154 (21%) on a notional swing of 33% from Conservative to Labour Billingham North on Stockton on Tees (Lab defence) Result: Labour 719 (40% +5% on last time), Conservative…

Read More Read More