politicalbetting.com

To describe 2017 as a year of two halves would be absolutely correct, as the general election held on June 8th marked a distinct dividing line not only at Westminster (between a Conservative majority of 12 and no majority) but also in local by-elections with the electoral pendulum swinging rapidly from one side to the other and so therefore it is best to look at the year before and after the general election Before the General Election (January 1st –…

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Bradwell on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 360 (46% +22% on last time), Lab 396 (51% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 25 (3% unchanged on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%, No Green candidate this time -3%, No Independent candidate this time -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 36 (5%) on a swing of 8.5% from Lab to Con Newchapel on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 216 (43% -7% on last time),…

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Newton and St. Leonard’s on Exeter (Lab defence) Result: Con 512 (27% +4% on last time), Lab 1,044 (55% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 179 (9% +2% on last time), UKIP 40 (2% -3% on last time), Green 137 (7% -5% on last time) (No Independence from Europe candidate this time -3%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 532 (28%) on a swing of 0.5% from Con to Lab Godalming Central and Ockford on Waverley (Con defence) Result: Con…

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Maidstone North on Maidstone (Con defence) Result: Con 364 (26% -6% on last time), Lab 270 (19% +8% on last time), Lib Dem 719 (51% +20% on last time), Green 47 (3% -2% on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -20%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 355 (25%) on a swing of 13% from Con to Lib Dem Westway on Tanbridge (Lib Dem defence) Result: Con 239 (26% -3% on last time), Lab 118 (13%…

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Perth City South on Perth and Kinross (Con defence) First Preferences: Con 1,734 (31% +6% on last time), Lab 314 (6% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 1,597 (29% -6% on last time), Green 102 (2% -1% on last time), Ind 25 (0% -4% on last time), SNP 1,780 (32% +6% on last time) SNP lead of 46 (1%) with no swing between Con and SNP (6% swing from Lib Dem to SNP) Conservative HOLD elected on sixth count Rutherglen…

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