Browsed by
Author: Editor

The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

Comments 0 Comment

Highland on Perth and Kinross (Con defence) Result: Con 1,907 (47% +2% on last time), Lab 239 (6% no candidate last time), Lib Dem 78 (2% -1% on last time), Green 104 (3% -1% on last time), Ind (Taylor) 280 (7%), Ind (Baykal) 12 (0%), SNP 1,466 (36% +1% on last time) Conservative lead over SNP of 441 (9%) on a swing of 0.5% from SNP to Con Total Independent vote: 292 (7% -4% on last time) No candidate elected…

Read More Read More

Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: Are you racist? Syrian airstrikes & the Lords report on polling

Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: Are you racist? Syrian airstrikes & the Lords report on polling

Comments 0 Comment

On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by Matt Singh (Number Cruncher) and Adam Drummond (Opinium) to discuss: 1) Why voting intention polls and perceptions of party leaders seem to be moving in different directions 2) Reactions to the Windrush scandal and how pollsters deal with sensitive questions around immigration 3) An exclusive survey from Opinium for PB that shows 1 in 10 Brits believe the Russian military accusation that Britain staged the Douma chemical attack in…

Read More Read More

This week’s by-elections: A LAB & CON hold plus a CON loss to LD on a 41% swing

This week’s by-elections: A LAB & CON hold plus a CON loss to LD on a 41% swing

Comments 0 Comment

St. Olaves on St. Edmundsbury (Lab defence) Result: Lab 365 (59% +27% on last time), Con 150 (24% -7% on last time), Ind 77 (12% -26% on last time), Lib Dem 31 (5%, no candidate last time) Labour HOLD with a majority of 215 (35%) on a swing of 17% from Con to Lab (26.5% from Ind to Lab) Middleton, Cheney on South Northamptonshire (Con defence) Result: Con 391 (42% -22% on last time), Lib Dem 316 (34%, no candidate…

Read More Read More

Gains for the LDs and Greens the highlights of this week’s local elections

Gains for the LDs and Greens the highlights of this week’s local elections

Comments 0 Comment

Caol and Mallig on Highland (SNP defence) First Preferences: Con 183 (9% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 658 (31% +22% on last time), Campbell (Ind) 98 (5%), MacKinnon (Ind) 146 (7%), SNP 574 (27%, Wood (Ind) 454 (21%) (No Lab candidate this time -6%, Total Independent vote: 698 (33% -19% on last time) Liberal Democrat lead of 84 (4%) on a swing of 20.5% from Ind to Lib Dem No candidate elected on first count, Campbell (Ind) eliminated Second…

Read More Read More

Analysis of the Q1 local by-elections finds CON struggling to benefit from the almost total collapse if the UKIP vote

Analysis of the Q1 local by-elections finds CON struggling to benefit from the almost total collapse if the UKIP vote

Comments 0 Comment

Vote changes from by-elections in previously CON held wards Vote changes from by-elections in previously LAB held wards Vote changes from by-elections in previously UKIP held wards The real story of the local by-elections in the first quarter (and I suspect one that will be repeated in just five weeks time) is the collapse of UKIP losing 90% of it’s vote compared to last time and showing that it’s not just UKIP voters now voting Con, but UKIP candidates not…

Read More Read More

CON, the LDs and SNP net gain of one each while LAB finish all square. This week’s local elections

CON, the LDs and SNP net gain of one each while LAB finish all square. This week’s local elections

Comments 0 Comment

Penicuik on Midlothian (Lab defence) First Preference Votes: SNP 1,663 (35% unchanged on last time), Con 1,433 (30% +4% on last time), Lab 1,310 (28% +2% on last time), Green 344 (7% +1% on last time) (No Lib Dem candidate this time -7%) SNP lead on the first count of 230 on a swing of 2% from SNP to Con Estimated Lib Dem split: 57% to Con, 29% to Lab, 14% to Green No candidate elected on first count, Green…

Read More Read More

Labour candidates fear doorstep questions about Corbyn and the Kremlin

Labour candidates fear doorstep questions about Corbyn and the Kremlin

Comments 0 Comment

Labour members on the front line are worried about how voters will react to Jeremy Corbyn’s equivocal response to the attempted assassination in Salisbury of Russian double agent Sergei Skripal, and his daughter. The front line in this case is the May local elections, including polls in the 32 London boroughs where the Tories fear they are in for a drubbing. But at a training session last week for new candidates in one of those boroughs the very first question…

Read More Read More

After last week’s Tory loss of 5 local by-elections the blue team returns to its winning ways

After last week’s Tory loss of 5 local by-elections the blue team returns to its winning ways

Comments 0 Comment

Two CON holds and a gain Stamford, St. George’s on South Kesteven (Con defence) Result: Con 309 (46% +13% on last time), Ind 174 (26%, no candidate last time), Lab 114 (17% +1% on last time), Lib Dem 68 (10%, no candidate last time), Green 13 (2% -10% on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -19%. No Stamford Independent this time -19%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 135 (20%) on a notional swing of 6.5% from Ind to…

Read More Read More