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Can Liam Fox hold on to his job?

Can Liam Fox hold on to his job?

Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic Defence Secretary now just 5/4 to be next out Recent months have been fruitful for anyone engaged in setting odds in a “Next out of Cabinet” market, as Shadsy may attest. Hague, Cable, and Huhne have all been involved in stories that have seen their prices tumble – but all remain in post, for now at least. Liam Fox’s job now looks to be very much in the balance, with serious questions over his best…

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NightHawks now open for Saturday night

NightHawks now open for Saturday night

PB’s “Big Conversation” continues here on through Saturday night and into Sunday morning. The big domestic story is Liam Fox which will be featured in the Sunday morning piece – have any of you had a bet on him to be the next Cabinet minister out? Many thanks and enjoy the rest of the weekend, Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk Twitter @electiongame

Start your weekend at NightHawks…

Start your weekend at NightHawks…

As presaged by Henry’s article yesterday, the Labour reshuffle has taken place, featuring some younger MPs from the 2010 intake – full details here, here and here. David Herdson will be back in action tomorrow in his usual Saturday slot – and thanks for your continued patronage of PB while Our Genial Host is away. Finally, if anyone would like to take part in the Poland election game, it is available here – entries close 7pm tomorrow. Many thanks and…

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Back Jackson for Tory Scots Supremo

Back Jackson for Tory Scots Supremo

HenryG looks at the betting for the leadership contest Some of my best political bets have been with the Conservatives. Duncan Smith (33/1) and Cameron (11/1) have both come up trumps for me in the past. Now that we know the names of qualifying candidates for the Scottish Conservative leader and have seen them in action at conference there is one name that leaps out in value. Jackson Carlaw looks tidily placed to mop up from his more fancied opponents’…

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NightHawks, where PB never sleeps….

NightHawks, where PB never sleeps….

As you’ll have seen, Sarah Palin has finally confirmed that she won’t be running, and that must mean that the field is finally set (surely no entry from Rudy?!). There will be a PB poll tomorrow afternoon on the 2012 White House race. With Nevada holding its caucus on 14th January, New Hampshire (by state law a week before any “similar election”) looks set for 3rd January if it sticks to the traditional Tuesday – and that would mean the…

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Sean Fear asks: Why’s only one pollster got Labour in the 40s?

Sean Fear asks: Why’s only one pollster got Labour in the 40s?

Surely the party of the Two Eds should be miles ahead? Something curious is happening in British politics. The economy is weak, unemployment is running at 2.5m, and significant, and unpopular, cuts in public spending are being pushed through. In such a situation, one would expect the Opposition to have opened up a big lead in opinion polls, and to make sweeping gains in local elections. In the run up to the last election, plenty of commentators expected the new…

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What are the reshuffle risks for Ed?

What are the reshuffle risks for Ed?

Henry G runs the rule over a possible Labour frontbench shake-up With rumours of an imminent Labour Shadow Cabinet reshuffle it’s worth examining the opportunities and risks for Labour. Ed Miliband is in a stronger position to dispense patronage than previous Labour leaders in Opposition now he has the ability to appoint who he wishes from the full ranks of the Parliamentary Labour Party. With this freedom comes added risks and the likelihood of net disappointment for many MPs. Reshuffles…

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Into the small hours with the NightHawks cafe…

Into the small hours with the NightHawks cafe…

Following a “Conservative day” here on PB, tomorrow we have a “Labour day”. HenryG will kick off with a look at a possible Shadow Cabinet reshuffle, followed by Sean Fear examining Labour’s polling position. Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk Twitter @electiongame