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Local By-Election Preview : May 30th 2013

Local By-Election Preview : May 30th 2013

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  Fazeley on Lichfield (Con Defence) Last Local Election (2011): Conservative 46, Labour 10 (Conservative majority of 36) Last Ward Result (2011): Con 758, 595, 460 (60%) Lab 512 (40%) Fazeley, a small town (and not to mention, civil parish) is located on the outskirts of Tamworth and as such as been part of the electoral ding dong that has become the norm in the south of Staffordshire, north of Warwickshire and north west of Leicestershire. Back in the 1970’s,…

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Henry G Manson says the Greens ought to be doing better

Henry G Manson says the Greens ought to be doing better

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Why do we hear so little about Caroline Lucas? The election of Caroline Lucas in 2010 was in many ways quite extraordinary. In winning a three-way marginal seat she succeeded where UKIP have so far failed. Lucas is intelligent, thoughtful and charismatic. Yet the Greens simply have not capitalised. At a time when the Labour Party is saying as little as possible about its policy plans, you’d think there was a hole for the Green Party’s national no nonsense opposition…

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Local By-Election Preview : May 23rd 2013

Local By-Election Preview : May 23rd 2013

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Whitwell on Bolsover Last Local Election 2011: Lab 32, Ind 4, Green 1 (Labour majority of 25) To view the result in 2011 please visit http://s3.datawrapper.de/BIZMe/ Dennis Skinner MP (Lab, Bolsover) has become as much of the Parliamentary Estate as Black Rod and the Speaker. Famed for his comments at each State Opening, is it any wonder that he has been named the “Beast of Bolsover” and was even immortalised in the CBBC comedy drama “Maid Marian and Her Merry…

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Local By-Election Preview : May 16th 2013

Local By-Election Preview : May 16th 2013

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Harry Hayfield’s guide to the action Coker on Somerset (Deferred Election) Last Council Election (2013): Con 28, Lib Dem 18, Lab 3, UKIP 3, Ind 2 (Conservative majority of 2) Last Ward Election (2009): Lib Dem 1,454 (45%) Con 1,365 (43%) Green 249 (8%) Ind 131 (4%) Last Ward Election (2009 Notional): Lib Dem 1,687 (46%) Con 1,559 (43%) Green 271 (7%) Ind 151 (4%) Somerset has always been a Conservative / Liberal Democrat battleground going back as far as…

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Britain is a how many party system?

Britain is a how many party system?

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Harry Hayfield’s historical prespective The main news narrative over in recent days has been “Britain is a four party system country” following the success of UKIP in the county council elections, I, however would counter that by saying “Britain is in fact a thirteen party system” and hasn’t been a four party system for well over twenty years Parties that have scored more than 1% of the national vote at a UK general election since 1950 Great Britain only 1950:…

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No boundary changes and no AV: EdM is proving to be a lucky LAB leader

No boundary changes and no AV: EdM is proving to be a lucky LAB leader

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Henry G Manson on how the Tories have made GE2015 easier for Ed There is a bit of talk as to whether certain Conservative MP are able to be endorsed by UKIP and stand with two party emblems next to their name on the ballots paper. This is now possible under updated election law. This week Peter Bone MP took to the airwaves arguing for joint Conservative and UKIP candidates to take advantage of this: “There was a tremendous Conservative…

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Local By-Election Preview : May 9th 2013

Local By-Election Preview : May 9th 2013

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After all the excitement of last Thursday, which saw the worst Conservative performance in a set of local elections since 1995 (25% national projected vote share), Labour make no change on their 2010 local election performance (29% national projected vote share), the Liberal Democrats see thirty three years of local election advances wiped out (14% national projected vote share, only 1% higher than their tally in 1980) and with the help of UKIP, the Others “win” the local elections with…

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Local election night on PB: Your guide – Harry Hayfield and your interactive chart to see what happend last time

Local election night on PB: Your guide – Harry Hayfield and your interactive chart to see what happend last time

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Today sees the sternest test for David Cameron out of any local election he has so far had to face. The 2009 local elections were a complete Conservative triumph. Of the 2,492 councillors elected at those elections, 1,494 (or nearly 60%) were Conservative and apart from Bristol, Cornwall, Cumbria, Northumberland and Anglesey, the Conservatives are defending majority control in every single council up for election (which make the pitfalls even more dangerous). At the time of those local elections, the…

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