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By-Election Results : February 13th 2014

By-Election Results : February 13th 2014

Kingstanding on Birmingham (Lab Defence) Result: Conservative 1,571 (47% +7% on 2012), Labour 1,433 (43% +3% on 2012), United Kingdom Independence Party 266 (8%, no candidate in 2012), Liberal Democrats 43 (1% -1% on 2012), National Front 33 (1% unchanged on 2012) Conservative GAIN from Labour with a majority of 138 (4%) on a swing of 2% from Labour to Conservative Reeth and Arkengarthdale on Richmondshire (Ind Defence) Result: Non Party Independent 273 (77%), Conservative 83 (23% +11% on 2011)…

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By-Election Preview : February 13th 2014

By-Election Preview : February 13th 2014

Kingstanding on Birmingham (Lab Defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Labour 77, Conservative 28, Liberal Democrats 15 (Labour overall majority of 34) Result of ward in last electoral cycle (2010 – 2012) 2010: Lab 3,372, Con 2,792, BNP 891, Lib Dem 866, National Front 160, Green 103 2011: Lab 2,210, Con 2,035, BNP 344, Lib Dem 128, Green 121 2012: Lab 2,014, Con 1,609, BNP 213, Green 106, Lib Dem 80, National Front 34 Candidates duly nominated: Graham…

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Local By-Election Results : February 6th 2014

Local By-Election Results : February 6th 2014

Betws yn Rhos on Conwy (Non Party Independent defence) Result: Independent (Lloyd) 347 (46%), Plaid Cymru 197 (26% -2%), Independent (Evans) 127 (17%), Conservative 83 (11%) Independent WIN with a majority of 150 (20%) (The total Independent vote was 474 (63%) down 9% on 2012, therefore there was a swing of 3.5% from Ind to Plaid) Arbourthorne on Sheffield (Lab Defence, last elected in 2012) Result: Lab 1,398 (52% -15% on 2012), UKIP 482 (18% +2% on 2012), Con 213…

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Local By-Election Preview : February 6th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : February 6th 2014

Counting the votes pic.twitter.com/jyd5QR07yQ — PolPics (@PolPics) January 25, 2014 Betws yn Rhos on Conwy (Non Party Independent Defence) Result of last election (2012): Independents 19, Conservatives 13, Plaid Cymru 12, Labour 10, Liberal Democrats 5 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 11) Result of ward at last election (2012): Non Party Independent 340 (43%), Plaid Cymru 219 (28%), Independent 167 (21%), Independent 40 (5%), Independent 18 (2%) * Total Independent vote: 565 (72%) Candidates duly nominated: Caroline Evans (Independent),…

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The “Wisdom of Crowds/PBers”: What you/they think will happen in 2014

The “Wisdom of Crowds/PBers”: What you/they think will happen in 2014

PB 2014 competition predictions now out (Firstly, apologies for the delay in getting these predictions released – I’ve been absolutely flat out at work with year-end, so thanks for your patience.) 80 pundits took part in PB’s annual crystal ball-gazing exercise, looking at everything from UK leaders at Christmas, the Scottish independence referendum and the Euro-elections, to key international elections, and predictions for the opinion polls from ICM. Full details of the player-by-player predictions are available here.   UK leaders:…

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Local By-Election Results : January 30th 2014

Local By-Election Results : January 30th 2014

Heanor East on Amber Valley (Lab Defence) Result: Labour 548 votes (59% +6% on 2012) Conservative 350 votes (37% +12% on 2012) Liberal Democrat 41 (4% unchanged on 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 198 (22%) on a swing from Lab to Con of 3% Chadsmead on Lichfield (Con Defence) Result: Liberal Democrat 206 votes  (36%), Labour 157 votes (27%) United Kingdom Independence Party 108 votes (19%) Conservative 102 votes (18%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 49 (9%) Buckie…

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Local By-Election Preview : January 30th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : January 30th 2014

Heanor East on Amber Valley (Lab Defence) Result of last election for council (2012): Con 24, Lab 21 (Conservative overall majority of 3) Result of ward at last election (2012): Lab 838 (53%), Con 391 (25%), BNP 284 (18%), Lib Dem 69 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Steven Grainger (Con), Sheila Oakes (Lab), Kate Smith (Lib Dem) Chadsmead on Lichfield (Con Defence) Result of last election for council (2011): Con 46, Lab 10 (Conservative overall majority of 36) Result of ward…

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By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

Motherwell North on North Lanarkshire (Lab Defence) Result: Lab 1,719 (68% unchanged on 2012), SNP 520 (21% -4% on 2012), Con 173 (7% +2% on 2012), UKIP 107 (4% no candidate in 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 1,199 (47%) on a swing of 2% from SNP to Lab West Leigh on Southend on Sea (Con Defence) Result: (Changes since 2011, when retiring councillor was last elected) Con 743 (37% -13% on 2011), Lib Dem 688 (34% +1% on…

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