A newly created Polymarket account invested over $30,000 yesterday in Maduro's exit. The US then took Maduro into custody overnight, and the trader profited $400,000 in less than 24 hours. Insider trading is not only allowed on prediction markets; it's encouraged. https://t.co/EtZyW1IWTa pic.twitter.com/MzsU9kOU73

— Joe Pompliano (@JoePompliano) January 3, 2026

When Mike Smithson first asked me to start editing political betting he made it very clear that I would be privy to embargoed polling and I shouldn’t bet based on those polls until they were public., I was more than happy to comply due to my sense of ethics.

It appears others do not have that same sense of ethics when it comes to insider information.

TSE