It’s looking like ajockalypse now for Labour

It’s looking like ajockalypse now for Labour

NEW Scottish Political Monitor from @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social ?SNP continue to lead on Scottish Parliament voting intention, with 35% of the constituency vote share,??1 since June.?Reform UK stand at 18%,??4 since June.?Scottish Labour’s share falls to 16%, ??7 since June.

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.779Z

?SNP also remain out in front on General Election voting intention, on 33% (vs. 30% achieved at the 2024 General Election).?Reform UK are in second place on 20% (vs. 7% achieved in the 2024 election).?Labour’s vote share has dropped to 17% (vs. 35% in the 2024 election)

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.780Z

??The top issue that the Scottish public say will be very important to how they vote next May is healthcare/the NHS (57%).??This is followed by inflation/the rising cost of living (41%), immigration (30%), the economy (25%) and social care (25%).

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.781Z

Immigration is a particular concern for Reform UK supporters – 80% mention this as an important issue to their vote – and to a lesser extent, for Conservative supporters (38%).

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.782Z

Reform UK's messaging on immigration is resonating with a significant minority of the Scottish public. 22% trust Reform most to have the right stance on immigration – rising to 30% of men and 29% of older voters aged 55+. Compares with 21% who trust the SNP most on immigration.

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.783Z

None of the Scottish party leaders asked about in the poll are rated positively overall:?FM John Swinney is the least poorly rated (Net = -14).?Anas Sarwar’s approval ratings have fallen since June (Net = -28)?14% are satisfied with Russell Findlay (Net = -36)

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.784Z

For full results, please see our webpage here: www.ipsos.com/en-uk/snp-re…

Ipsos in Scotland (@ipsosinscotland.bsky.social) 2025-12-10T13:19:47.785Z

I am not sure there’s any value in these markets. A market I would like to see is if the SNP win a majority or not.

TSE

Comments are closed.