Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Our odds give him a 33% chance of winning it next year

No – 4/11
Yes – 2/1 https://t.co/DK44q0IqyU#NobelPeacePrize pic.twitter.com/QK8yqkrUWw

— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) October 13, 2025

I suspect this is a proxy bet on whether the peace deal in the Middle East unravels or not. My instinct is to back no as you’re effectively betting on Hamas and Netanyahu to behave and stick to the terms of the deal and that’s like expecting Boris Johnson to tell the truth.

TSE