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Month: November 2019

The battle to succeed Corbyn could soon be upon us and Long-Bailey retains her favourite position in the betting

The battle to succeed Corbyn could soon be upon us and Long-Bailey retains her favourite position in the betting

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This is a betting market that we have hardly paid any attention to because Corbyn has appeared so secure. Well he’s indicated that if LAB loses the election then he will step down so the chances are that the fight could start before Christmas. Corbyn has been there from September 2015 and has faced three PMs. We know that leading figures in the party have stated that the next LAB leader should be woman and as can be seen all…

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LAB’s GE17 performance is misleading as a tactical voting guide because since then its reputation has been tainted by antisemitism

LAB’s GE17 performance is misleading as a tactical voting guide because since then its reputation has been tainted by antisemitism

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There weren’t front pages like this before GE2017 So far the LAB GE19 campaign has been dominated by furious attacks like the one above from the Jewish Chronicle and nearly half a dozen candidates having to stand aside because they are on record as stated things that can be seen as anti semitic. For the Labour party that is going into this election continues to be afflicted by impact of it and its leader’s actions on this form of racism….

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The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

The spread markets the Tories down a touch but still heading for a majority

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SportingIndex The Greens up following the United for Remain moves Until we get the final outcome I’m planning to do regular posts on the Commons Seats spread-betting market from SportingIndex. This will act as a useful reference to how things have changed and how punters are seeing things. What I like about these markets is this gets right down to the general election outcome in terms of seats. This is a form of betting for those ready to risk what…

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The Unite to Remain Alliance: The seats where one of the Greens/the LDs or PC will be given a clear run

The Unite to Remain Alliance: The seats where one of the Greens/the LDs or PC will be given a clear run

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The LDS and Greens are standing aside for Plaid Cymru in the following Welsh seats: Arfon (Held) Dwyfor Meirionnydd (Held) Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Held) Ynys Mon Pontypridd Caerphilly Llanelli The LDs are standing aside for the Green in these English seats Brighton Pavilion (Held) Isle of Wight Bury St Edmunds Bristol West Stroud Dulwich & West Norwood Cannock Chase Exeter Forest of Dean PC and the Green party are standing aside for the LDs  in the following Welsh seats:…

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Ten Lib Dem seats to watch

Ten Lib Dem seats to watch

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The Lib Dems do not lack for stated public ambition. Jo Swinson is positioning herself as a potential Prime Minister after the election, which shows some optimism considering that the Lib Dems started the last Parliament with just 12 MPs and ended it with just 20, many of whom look by no means certainties to return to Parliament next time.   Still, fair lady never won with faint heart. Here are ten seats which will give a fair indication of just…

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A future history of Labour’s election in ten seats

A future history of Labour’s election in ten seats

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Labour will overtake the SNP within 12 months if @LabourRichard wins. Remember this tweet. https://t.co/pnrPdAoAwB — Aaron Bastani (@AaronBastani) October 7, 2017 You have to admire Jeremy Corbyn’s grit. Facing personal polling figures that find him to be less popular than herpes, he has nevertheless sought out the fight and is looking to repeat the confounding of expectations that he achieved in 2017.   If anything, the prospects are still more daunting this time round. Labour’s polling has been at a…

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The first morning of the official campaign period in three Tweets

The first morning of the official campaign period in three Tweets

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Not the finest hour for these two senior Tories. I'm sure their opponents on December 12th will have noticed. https://t.co/m56aDCAJPk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2019 Our second edition ?@EveningStandard? as Cabinet Minister resigns over rape trial scandal on first day of official Tory campaign pic.twitter.com/NLWNX0HbtM — George Osborne (@George_Osborne) November 6, 2019 More terrible leader ratings for Corbyn from Ipsos-MORI. A huge 75% of voters dissatisfied with him and just 15% satisfied. Johnson up sharply from last month…

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A key GE19 battleground: The GE2017 Tories who voted Remain

A key GE19 battleground: The GE2017 Tories who voted Remain

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How many are ready to back Swinson’s party? One sizeable group of the electorate who could make a difference on December 12th are those who have voted Conservative in the past who at the referendum went for remain. It’s estimated that this segment accounted for more than a quarter of the Conservative vote at the last general election. The question now is whether they will want to continue supporting the party under the management of Boris Johnson which is devoid…

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