New market on Rick Saccone's vote share in today's Pennsylvania special election ?? pic.twitter.com/VpMjd1koe3
— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) March 13, 2018
Polls close at midnight UK time
The big political betting event today is the special election (a by-election in UK parlance) in Pennsylvania Congressional district 18 which covers the outskirts of Pittsburgh and where Trump had a 20 point margin at WH2016.
As the RealClear Politics polling table above shows this is looking very tight with the Democratic party believing that they are in with a shout of taking the seat.
Both campaigns have thrown a huge amount of money, at least $10m, at the race which looks set to provide a goodish pointer to this November’s MidTerm elections.
This is very natural Trump territory with a large number of white working class voters.
On Betfair on Monday punters rated this as a 60-40 shot for the Republicans. That’s now flipped the other way moved in following a final poll that is pointing to a 6 point victor for Lamb, the Democratic contender.