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Month: December 2017

Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

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It is now 5 days since the white supremacist, Roy Moore, lost the special election in Alabama for the US Senate. The vote margin of 1.5% was in excess of that which is allowed under state law for a losing candidate to call for a recount. The winner, the Democrat, is widely regarded as such and there is no suggestion anywhere that the result can be overturned. All the focus now is on the political consequences of the GOP position…

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As we edge towards to the year end three seasonal political betting tips

As we edge towards to the year end three seasonal political betting tips

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At the end of a tumultuous year, some early thoughts for 2018 and beyond Date of the Next UK election: 2022, 5/2 SkyBet In one sense, this is a great bet. Yes, there’s a lot that could happen over the next four and a bit years but the FTPA makes it hard for an early election to be forced unless the government wants to, and after the experience of this last year, why would it? If this last week has…

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Local By-Election Results : December 14th 2017 and December Summary

Local By-Election Results : December 14th 2017 and December Summary

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Bradwell on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 360 (46% +22% on last time), Lab 396 (51% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 25 (3% unchanged on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%, No Green candidate this time -3%, No Independent candidate this time -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 36 (5%) on a swing of 8.5% from Lab to Con Newchapel on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 216 (43% -7% on last time),…

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To get the tone right it has to come from the top

To get the tone right it has to come from the top

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Labour MP @DavidLammy recorded £2,713.25 worth of flights and hospitality for a trip to Washington D.C in September 2017 funded by George Soros' Open Society Foundation. https://t.co/DIgAukz0co ??? https://t.co/CO80DOrzgh pic.twitter.com/DVWb7QJ5ok — LEAVE.EU ?? (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 16, 2017 Cyclefree on why this is so important During the 1983 campaign, Saatchi suggested a poster showing Michael Foot on Hampstead Heath with his walking stick looking like a scruffy old man and the caption “Even Pensioners are Better Off under the Conservatives”. Thatcher…

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The real problem for TMay from last night’s vote could be when the Brexit bill goes to the Lords

The real problem for TMay from last night’s vote could be when the Brexit bill goes to the Lords

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The revolt could give their Lordships more confidence to make their own amendments James Forsyth’s latest Spectator podcast makes a very good point about one consequence of last night’s Commons rebellion – it will make it much harder for the bill to get through the Upper House unamended. It is clear that there is a fairly strong majority amongst against Brexit amongst peers but the government always felt that if Lords received the bill which had not been altered against…

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A LD gain from CON and a LAB hold in this week’s local by-election

A LD gain from CON and a LAB hold in this week’s local by-election

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Newton and St. Leonard’s on Exeter (Lab defence) Result: Con 512 (27% +4% on last time), Lab 1,044 (55% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 179 (9% +2% on last time), UKIP 40 (2% -3% on last time), Green 137 (7% -5% on last time) (No Independence from Europe candidate this time -3%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 532 (28%) on a swing of 0.5% from Con to Lab Godalming Central and Ockford on Waverley (Con defence) Result: Con…

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Trump’s approval ratings drop to new low with women voters moving most against him

Trump’s approval ratings drop to new low with women voters moving most against him

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Bad news for the President from the pollster that got Tuesday most right There’s a new US national poll just out from Monmouth University – the organisation which did best forecasting this week’s Alabama senate election. Its final survey there had it as a tie which was closest to the outcome. Monmouth uses traditional live phone interviews and calls mobiles as landlines. It finds that Trump’s current job rating now stands at 32% approve and 56% disapprove. This marks his…

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