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Month: September 2017

Betting on what Trump will be impeached for

Betting on what Trump will be impeached for

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Paddy Power have a market up on if Trump were to be impeached, what that reason would be. I’m sitting out this market for a variety of reasons, mostly because the options in this market are so few, and doesn’t cover the ‘High crimes and misdemeanors’ scenario in Section 4 of Article II of the United States Constitution that allows for a President to be impeached. With a Russian politician openly admitting at the weekend that ‘American intelligence missed it when Russian intelligence…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast – Hurricanes, Trump’s approval rating, the EU withdrawal bill & Tory attempts to woo young voters

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast – Hurricanes, Trump’s approval rating, the EU withdrawal bill & Tory attempts to woo young voters

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  On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran rounds up the latest political news and polling analysis from the US and the UK. This week’s episode is a solo effort due to a last minute cancellation by a guest, so Keiran takes the reins alone in a shorter than usual show. Following his return from the States, Keiran takes you through the latest US political news including a slight uptick in Trump’s approval rating following Hurricane Harvey and Hurricane Irma….

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Looking at the UKIP leadership race

Looking at the UKIP leadership race

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Matthew Shaddick (Shadsy) of Ladbrokes on the UKIP leadership race. This year’s running of the UKIP leadership race might not have attracted all that much attention, but it’s probably one of the most open and unpredictable party leader elections I can remember. Of the seven candidates left, six have a plausible shot at winning and there could be plenty of betting value around. Long time favourite Peter Whittle looks a very shaky front-runner. Once as short as 2/5, he’s now…

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Two years ago some Tories voted for Corbyn to become Labour leader to destroy the Labour party, you’ll never guess what happened next

Two years ago some Tories voted for Corbyn to become Labour leader to destroy the Labour party, you’ll never guess what happened next

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Happy second anniversary as Labour leader Mr Corbyn, a man who continues to defy expectations. Today is the second anniversary of Jeremy Corbyn becoming Labour leader, very few people could have imagined how things have turned out. Back in 2015 many observers, including myself, thought if Jeremy Corbyn led the Labour party at a general election, Labour would play the role of Alderaan to the Tory party’s Death Star. But at 10pm on June 8th 2017 all those perceptions changed….

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Understanding the minds of punters

Understanding the minds of punters

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YouGov have published some fascinating insights into punters, YouGov say YouGov Profiles data allows us to explore the mindset of those who gamble at least once a week with a bookmaker – either online or in shop. The data shows that while there are some clear distinctions between more traditional in-store bettors and those who gamble digitally, there are also a number of shared characteristics.  As one would imagine those that use a traditional instore bookmaker are likely to be older…

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Talking to ourselves

Talking to ourselves

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  The outgoing French Ambassador to the UK, Sylvie Bermann, commented recently that Britain was talking to itself about Brexit and no-one else.  And maybe that is right: we are having a conversation – though a bad-tempered shouting match might be more accurate – about who we are as a country.  Still, endless navel-gazing and repetition of the same old slogans is tiresome.  So here are three topics our political leaders (and others) might usefully address. Overmighty barons A number…

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Corbyn keeps his shirt on in Poldark country

Corbyn keeps his shirt on in Poldark country

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QjsYMHwLuNU&t=49s Video: Footage of Jeremy Corbyn campaigning in Redruth last month. We all know that Jeremy Corbyn doesn’t need to take his shirt off to get people singing “Ooo”. So the Labour leader was fully clad when he fetched up in Poldark country for Labour campaign rally in high summer. If he’d shown any inclination to emulate Aidan Turner’s naked sea bathing and shirtless gardening  in the BBC period drama his minders would doubtless have warned him against validating Theresa May’s bizarre comment in…

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Another fascinating insight into Mrs May and her disastrous election campaign

Another fascinating insight into Mrs May and her disastrous election campaign

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Absolutely fascinating insight by @TomMcTague & @TimRoss_1 on Tory election campaign. Definitely buying their book. https://t.co/myXGOEJId3 pic.twitter.com/5FBcFBnrPH — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 10, 2017 Listening to David Davis and ignoring what made David Cameron a success at general elections helped contribute to Mrs May’s calamitous election result. This morning The Mail on Sunday have an excerpt from a forthcoming book by Tim Ross and Tom McTague about the Tory election campaign. They have some great snippets, the first one that stood…

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