The French ban on opinion polls came into effect at midnight with Macron still ahead
Will that hold good when real voting starts tomorrow morning?
France has some very tight laws on opinion polls including a complete ban on then being published on the day before an election. So the Wikipedia chart above represents all the polling that we will see until we get the exit polls tomorrow evening.
The young independent, Emmanuel Macron, is still in the lead and has seen it move up just a touch in the final few days. Le Pen is in second place with the Republican Fillon and the far-left Melenchon not that far behind.
There are a total of 11 candidates and the first round of voting involves narrowing this down to just to for the run-off a fortnight tomorrow
France has very high turnout rates usually around the 80% mark and there is no reason to think that it will be much lower this time. .
We should get news of the first French exit polls tomorrow evening after about 7 p.m. UK time.
The betting markets make Macron the strong favourite with a current 57% chance. Le Pen is down on 21% with Fillon at 17% and Melenchon at 5%.
The polling is so tight that it is within the margin of error for neither Macron not Le Pen to make it to the final.
UK betting interest has been the highest ever for a non-UK/US election. On Betfair alone £803k has been matched over the past 24 hours.