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Category: France

Is France the next to fall to populism?

Is France the next to fall to populism?

How far do the Yellow Vest protests go? Emmanuel Macron was always an unlikely revolutionary. Graduate of the ENA, high-flying civil servant, investment banker with Rothschilds, and later Minister of Finance and the Economy: his was the model of an insider’s path to power. And yet En Marche was a revolution of sorts. Despite Macron’s own background, his election was in its own way a rejection of the status quo. His style, however, was never fitted to that role –…

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French toast – Bread and butter issues burn Macron

French toast – Bread and butter issues burn Macron

Aux armes citoyens! or at least put on your yellow hi-vis. In the last month, 50 years after the explosion of 1968, the French are once again taking to the streets.  Whereas Mai 68 was a cocktail of demands for a freer more open society, Decembre 18 is more a cry of anger about a stagnant standard of living. France is increasingly struggling to satisfy its citizen’s aspirations. In the post war world France progressed rapidly during Les Trente Glorieuses  the…

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Macron’s first big decision – choosing his Prime Minister. Chris from Paris looks at the betting

Macron’s first big decision – choosing his Prime Minister. Chris from Paris looks at the betting

On the previous thread Chris from Paris gave his views on who Macron is going to choose as his first Prime Minister. Betffair has just got a market up. These are Chris’s views with the numbers being the Betfair price when he posted. Pascal Lamy 10.0 : ok price, a bit low: Lamy has a great international profile but pretty unlikely PM as he has never been either a MP or a minister – Le Drian 7.2 : the price…

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Macron ends up doing even better than the exit polls

Macron ends up doing even better than the exit polls

New York Times graphic His victory was almost two to one In the immediate aftermath of the first round two weeks ago I wrote here that the final outcome was nearest thing to an absolute certainty you could have and I bet accordingly. There was no way I could see, during the final phase of the campaign that Le Pen could win given the sheer size of the opinion polls gap. The polls had been dead on for the first…

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Macron wins by an estimated 65.5% to 34.5%

Macron wins by an estimated 65.5% to 34.5%

The powers of the French President France will shortly elect a new president, but what powers will Emmanuel Macron or Marine Le Pen have if they win? #Presidentielle2017 pic.twitter.com/W8EoSvQgMY — AFP news agency (@AFP) May 7, 2017 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Marine le Pen might be 26% behind in the polls but she’s attracting 90% of bets at Ladbrokes

Marine le Pen might be 26% behind in the polls but she’s attracting 90% of bets at Ladbrokes

MARINE LE PEN might be 24% behind in the polls but she's attracting 90% of the bets on the eve of the French Election – @LadPolitics — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2017 Final French polls published before last night's legal deadline before poll ban came in had Macron increasing his lead pic.twitter.com/orhvOkaetv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2017 The polls close at 1900 BST tomorrow when should get the next polls. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Macron moves to a 90%+ chance as another day goes by and his 20% lead holds firm

Macron moves to a 90%+ chance as another day goes by and his 20% lead holds firm

The time’s running out for Le Pen Latest betting on the French Presidential elections has Macron moving to a 90% chance with the far right Marine Le Pen on 10%. There is not much time left for Le Pen’s hoped for surge to bring about victory. French law imposes a black out on published polls after Friday and the election takes place on Sunday closing at 1900 BST. What is extraordinary about the polling is how all of them have…

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