A pointer to the EU Referendum?

One of the patterns that have emerged with a lot of the EU referendum polling is that the over 65s favour Brexit by a substantial margin, which gives the Leaver side a lot of hope that they may win the referendum on June 23rd, because older voters have had a higher turnout than younger voters in past elections.

But look at the charts above from the final London Mayoral polling by YouGov and Opinium, Zac had leads ranging between 22% and 30% with the overs 65s, yet still lost by nearly 14%, which these polls accurately predicted. Whilst London might not be representative of the United Kingdom, it is interesting nonetheless that even in a low turnout election, the power of the oldies was negated.

The betting on Betfair seems to be maintaining its consistent pattern, with Remain an implied circa 70% chance of winning.

 

TSE