The doubts over Cruz’s eligibility will hurt him in the eyes of primary voters irrespective of their validity

The doubts over Cruz’s eligibility will hurt him in the eyes of primary voters irrespective of their validity

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Salon

Trump now Betfair favourite to win Iowa

An ongoing issue for Cruz has been whether the fact that he was Canadian born makes him ineligible to serve as President. The constitution lays down that the office holder has to be a “natural born” American. There are many legal views on this, read the article linked to above, and it would probably end up in the Supreme Court.

The question at this stage just before the primaries start is not whether the assertions of ineligibility are legally correct but how voters perceive this.

For the notion that he might not be qualified will have an impact simply because of the uncertainty. Trump has played this well.

Before the article was published Cruz was odds on to win the Iowa caucuses. Now Trump has replaced him.

I’ve now reduced my Cruz betting position.

Mike Smithson



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