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Month: July 2015

The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: The YouGov LAB leadership poll with Sky political analyst Harry Carr

The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: The YouGov LAB leadership poll with Sky political analyst Harry Carr

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Examining the most talked about survey since GE2015 In the latest Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast the focus is on the most talked about published poll that there has been since the General Election – the YouGov Times survey of those who next month will be voting for the next LAB leader. This, of course, flagged that Jeremy Corbyn had both a lead on first preferences and after the the second and third preferences were taken into account. There’s little doubt that…

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Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elections

Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elections

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Harry Hayfield’s review Mill Hill on Blackburn with Darwen (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 47, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 3 (Labour majority of 30) Result of ward at last election (2012): Labour 967 (66%), Conservatives 264 (18%), Liberal Democrat 220 (15%) Candidates duly nominated: Alan Dean (Lib Dem), Michael Longbottom (UKIP), Carl Nuttall (Lab), Helen Tolley (Con) Blackburn, home of the former Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, was always supposed to be a rock solid Labour…

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This afternoon what’s only the eighth GE2020 voting intention poll since May 7th

This afternoon what’s only the eighth GE2020 voting intention poll since May 7th

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LDs in double figures in first VI poll following Farron's election as leader. See Ipsos-MORI July poll pic.twitter.com/OtOC8j6CwZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2015 Ipsos also asked whether the LAB4 were seen as potential PMs How are the LAB 4 seen as possible future PM's. This from July Ipsos-MORI poll pic.twitter.com/dgfiG59Je8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2015

Liz Kendall said to be under pressure to pull out of the race in an effort to stop Corbyn

Liz Kendall said to be under pressure to pull out of the race in an effort to stop Corbyn

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Could she could back Cooper in return for being Shadow Chancellor? One immediate effect of the YouGov Labour leader poll is, as the Times is reporting on its front page this morning, that pressure is being put on Liz Kendall to pull out of the race in order to make it easier to stop Corbyn. According to the report:- “An ally of Ms Cooper called on Ms Kendall to make a sacrifice similar to that made by Gordon Brown, who…

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Antifrank considers what the Blairites could do if Liz Kendall comes last

Antifrank considers what the Blairites could do if Liz Kendall comes last

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Go fourth and multiply The Labour leadership election hasn’t gone according to the Blairites’ plan, to put it mildly.  Dan Jarvis declined to run and Chuka Umunna launched an in-and-out campaign that prefigured the performance of England’s top order in the last Test, leaving Liz Kendall as the sole standard bearer of the right of the Labour party in the contest. She has chosen, probably unwisely, to drop some truth bombs on her electorate.  This has not gone down well. …

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YouGov Poll: Why Corbyn is winning but still unlikely to win

YouGov Poll: Why Corbyn is winning but still unlikely to win

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Keiran Pedley on the sensational survey for the Times Last night, YouGov released a poll on the Labour leadership that has thrown something of a hand grenade into the contest. After rumours that private polling was showing Jeremy Corbyn ahead we now have a poll showing exactly that. In fact, the first preference numbers in this poll are: CORBYN 43% BURNHAM 26% COOPER 20% KENDALL 11% Not only does Corbyn win on first preferences (and by a country mile) but…

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