New betting market: How many cabinet ministers will lose their seats?
Th Ashcroft Hallam poll pic.twitter.com/hupZ9psvka
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2015
The Ashcroft Kingston poll pic.twitter.com/CyxJ6idt75
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2015
The Ashcroft Loughborough poll pic.twitter.com/SHTXo7vpIx
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2015
Betfair Sportsbook’s ever expanding range of new markets has got an interesting one up.
How many of the current cabinet will lose their seats at the general election?
0 9/2
1 3/1
2 2/1
3 4/1
4 6/1
5 10/1
6 20/
7 40/1
8 50/1
9 66/1
10 Or More 100
Clearly the most vulnerable are the five Lib Dems and Education Secretary, Nicky Morgan, whose Loughborough seat is a marginal. Carmichael and Cable look pretty secure. Ed Davey should be OK in Kingston giving the recent Ashcroft poll.
Clegg might have a fight on his hands in Hallam where last month’s Ashcroft poll had him just 3% ahead. and there’s little doubt Danny Alexander is under real pressure in Inverness.
My guess is that the best bet with Betfair sportsbook is 1.