Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

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This is the first in a series of monthly polling for the Mirror between now and the election.

UKIP will be delighted to be in the 20s, albeit with a pollster that has generally been the most favourable to UKIP. The Tories will be delighted to be in the lead for the first time with Survation in this parliament, but in the context of things, they are polling at the same level as their 1997 nadir.

Survation haven’t picked up high Green figures that other pollsters have. The Lib Dem national polling fall that we saw with Ashcroft today has been reflected here.

Methodology note  Survation interviewed 1,014 Great British adults online about a range of political issues. Fieldwork was conducted on Sunday 25 January.

UPDATE – ComRes phone polls sees the Tories in the lead for the first time since September 2011

Like Survation the Tories are polling at the same level as their 1997 nadir. But we’ve had a few different pollsters this month having the Tories ahead. I still think the national polling is still probably neck and neck, but the Tories will be heartened by the second different pollster today having them ahead.

This is another poll showing the Greens doing well, and on snapping at the heels of the Lib Dems. Last month the Lib Dems were 7 points ahead of the Greens, this month they are only 1% ahead of the Greens.

The supplementaries

Three in five people (59 per cent) say that when deciding how they will vote, the parties’ policies on healthcare and the NHS will matter more to them than those on the economy. One in three (34 per cent) say that policies on the economy will be more important than those on health.

David Cameron has a 1% lead over Ed Miliband NHS funding. Some 29 per cent say they trust the Prime Minister to ensure the NHS has enough money, while 65 per cent disagree. Some 28 per cent trust the Labour leader, while 65 per cent disagree.

For those Labour strategists hoping to make the NHS central to the election campaign, this finding will be worrying, though it is probably further testament to people generally preferring David Cameron over Ed Miliband.

Methodology note, ComRes interviewed 1,001 GB adults by telephone between 23rd and 25th January 2015. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

TSE

UPDATE II

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