Latest ComRes online poll ENGLAND only compared with GE10 England result pic.twitter.com/q7pUA1iaBU
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2014
At GE2010 CON led in England by 11.2%. Now just 1%
Given that Scotland is operating totally differently at the moment I have been trying to identify the England only poll shares from the main surveys.
The chart above is from yesterday’s IoS/S Mirror poll by ComRes and has the Tories just 1% ahead in England. That is ten points short of what the blues got at the last election.
What’s happening in Scotland is disguising the huge challenge in England where the swing required is now in excess of 5%.
Of course it looks as though LAB will lose seats in Scotland but last time the Tories made net gains of 92 in England alone which was the bedrock of Cameron being able to lead a coalition. These 92 seats form the main target list for Labour.