Unless independence campaigners can convince the oldies in the next 3 weeks then YES, surely, is doomed
Like in all elections the oldies are crucial
A lot has been talked about the gender effect in the September 18th Scottish referendum and today a new Survation poll of pensioners for the Sunday Post highlights the generation battle.
Not only are the oldest oldies the most certain to vote they are more than two to one for NO.
The charts show the certainty to vote proportions and across the older age ranges as well as their stated voting intentions.
It is the combination of very high turnout levels with a strong desire to oppose the move that makes this group so important.
One of the factors here, of course, is that women tend to outlive men and demographically many more in the oldest groups are female.