Now the last SIX Scottish referendum polls have NO in the lead
Table Wikipedia For the previous twelve months all the polls had YES ahead
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Cummings has burnt too many bridges to survive committing the cardinal British political sin: hypocricy 25 January 2016 is not a date that has gone down in history. Despite that, the events of that day were critical to Britain voting to leave the EU, with all that’s meant since. That morning, Dominic Cummings was summoned to a meeting that was intended to remove him from running the Vote Leave campaign. The meeting did not turn out as its board intended….
How each of the constituencies voted at the Referendum
The projections from Prof Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway One thing’s for sure in the coming battle is how individual seats voted in the referendum on June 23rd 2016. Above is the standard reference on this projected by the leading political scientist, Prof Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway. Most seats are just projections but in a number there are real results coming from councils which issued data down to ward level. I have the spreadsheet set up so that they…
On the day of Johnson’s Brexit plan the latest polling on how voters view the referendum decision
The 9% Brexit wrong gap is one of the biggest seen since 2016 This is YouGov’s tracker which has been asked least twice a month since the referendum in June 2016. The format of the question has been unchanged and in the early day just about all the findings had Brexit being “right”. That changed in late 2017/q18 and so far this year Brexit “right” has trailed. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Let’s put an end to this rubbish thinking about LAB being vulnerable in its Leave Westminster seats
“There is some chatter in the Labour groups about the party adopting a radical Revoke and Reform policy at a September General Election. Not the usual suspects, this comes from Corbyn supporters. In which case Labour better prepare for annihilation by the Brexit Party in its Leave seats in the North and Midlands and Wales even if they hold onto London and other big cities and university towns” The majority of its GE2017 gains from CON were in seats that…
The first consequence of the Euros – LAB appears to be edging closer to a second referendum
Corbyn's team said the John McDonnell tweet this morning demanding public vote meant "both a general election, which is our preference, or a referendum" But McDonnell has just appeared on Sky saying a referendum is "inevitable" because Tory MPs won't back a general election… — Jim Pickard (@PickardJE) May 27, 2019 Here’s the latest on Labour’s #brexit policy https://t.co/9cUcw5K9AP — Vicki Young (@BBCVickiYoung) May 27, 2019 It was inevitable after their drubbing in the Euro elections that LAB was going…
The big picture from the turnout figures so far annouced is that the more an area was for Remain the more people voted yesterday
The results have been verified. 28,438 votes were counted with a turnout of 30.5% in Ashfield pic.twitter.com/BEKjlq1ojZ — Ashfield Council (@ADCAshfield) May 24, 2019 Although there has been no exit or other polling there has been a mass of data from the local authority areas that began verifying the ballots overnight. The big picture so far is in the headline – there’s a correlation between the percentage of those who voted yesterday and what the area did at the referendum….
The extent to which the Euro elections can be treated as a referendum depends on whether the outcome supports your side
Get ready on the evening of Sunday May 26th, when the euro elections results are announced, for the production of aggregates of the votes of the pro brexit and pro remain parties and and whoever has “won” trying argue that this is a mini referendum. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if one or more of the TV results programmes creates live graphics so we can see how it is going as the numbers come in. Clearly this is a…