— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2014
Clegg’s going to stay but if he doesn’t Alexander’s well positioned
Just a week to go and lots of talk about whether all the party leaders will survive.
For the Lib Dems I like the 25/1 that Paddy Power is offering on Danny Alexander to be leader at the election. He’s positioned himself well as the continuity candidate and would, I think, get the backing of party grandees.
Alexander has been a key member of the so called “quad” for the past four years and in the unlikely event of a vacancy would have a strong case.
A small bet at 25/1 is a good punt.
A leadership election while the party was still in coalition would be a totally different thing from one post-election.
For the front-runner, Tim Farron, the leadership vacancy needs to come up later rather than earlier.