— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2014
Looking back over the past decade there’s little doubt that Westminster voting intentions can be all over the place in the closing phase of the Euro elections campaign. It happened in 2004 and 2009 so maybe there’s a case for saying that we oughtn’t to read too much into the current comparatively poor shares for Labour.
Just check out this YouGov table showing all the daily polls since GE2010 to put things into context.
But the Tory Westminster share seems to be holding up well. This should be worrying for the red team.