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Month: March 2014

YouGov polling blow for the man Ladbrokes make the 5-1 second favourite to be Dave’s successor

YouGov polling blow for the man Ladbrokes make the 5-1 second favourite to be Dave’s successor

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Osbo trailed behind behind EdM, Boris, Clegg, Farage & even Balls Although the fieldwork took place earlier in the month and before the budget it was only this week that YouGov put up the above polling on their site. The question about how well suited X is to becoming PM is an interesting one which I can’t recall seeing before. The sample was asked for their views for each of those named in turn so it wasn’t an either/or type…

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Local By-Election Results: March 27th 2014

Local By-Election Results: March 27th 2014

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Stone on Dartford (Labour Defence) Result: Lab 426 (38%), Con 397 (35%), UKIP 307 (27%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 29 (3%) Kilmarnock North on East Ayrshire (Scottish National Party defence) First Preferences Result: SNP 1,334 (45% -8%), Lab 1,130 (38% +2%), Con 430 (15% +4%), Green 61 (2%) Scottish National Party HOLD (elected on the fourth count) on a swing of 5% from SNP to Labour St. John’s on Fylde (Independent defence) Result: Flyde Ratepayers 804 (66%), Con…

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LAB drops 4 in new YouGov Euros poll putting CON to within 4 percent

LAB drops 4 in new YouGov Euros poll putting CON to within 4 percent

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The May 22 Euros are looking like a three horse race Two worrying polls for LAB overnight. The latest YouGov GE 2015 poll has the gap down to 1% once again with LAB at 36% – it’s lowest for a long time. Meanwhile, with less than 8 weeks to go until the May Euros, there’s another blow for LAB. The party is down 4% on two weeks ago while UKIP jump 3 to 26%. This means that three parties are…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 27th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : March 27th 2014

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Stone on Dartford (Labour Defence) Result of last election to council (2011): Conservatives 31, Labour 9, Independents 4 (Conservative majority of 18) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 713, 588, 544 Labour 642, 609, 560 English Democrats 192 Candidates duly nominated: Jim Moore (UKIP), Catherine Stafford (Lab), Stephanie Thredgle (Con) Kilmarnock North on East Ayrshire (Scottish National Party defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Scottish National Party 15, Labour 14, Conservatives 2, Independent…

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Murdoch predicts LAB victory at GE2015

Murdoch predicts LAB victory at GE2015

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UKIP,Farage still making progress. Without a deal Cameron will be dead meat after 2015 elections. Prepare for Radical Labour. — Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) March 27, 2014 It’s hard to argue with his reasoning This is where the current UKIP vote is coming from. The idea that the purples are taking as many votes from LAB as CON is a nonsense. UKIP hurts the Tories far more than any other party as can be seen from the chart based on the…

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The big question is whether and how the debate impacts on voting in the Euros and GE2015

The big question is whether and how the debate impacts on voting in the Euros and GE2015

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Did both leaders achieve their goals? The experience of US presidential debates and, of course, the British GE2010 is that “winning” the debate is not necessarily a good pointer to its impact on voting. For Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg the critical upcoming election is on May 22nd – the Euros. Farage has built up expectations about a UKIP win on votes while at current polling levels it is not inconceivable that the LDs could lose all their MEPs. Both…

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The post Nick v Nigel debate reaction

The post Nick v Nigel debate reaction

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The YouGov poll on who won the debate is out.   BREAKING: FARAGE WINS. Nigel beats Nick 57-36 – @YouGov/Sun poll: http://t.co/HFiBvZJLiG pic.twitter.com/iLXcPej6D5 — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) March 26, 2014 Who won the debate between Farage & Clegg. Con voters: Farage 69%, Clegg 27%, Unsure 4%. Lab voters Clegg 51%, Farage 42%, Unsure 5% — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) March 26, 2014 Who won the debate between Farage & Clegg. LD voters: Clegg 77%, Farage 20%, Unsure 3% UKIP voters:…

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