The January Ipsos-MORI leader approval ratings
The Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings for Jan Not much change only Cam down http://t.co/CZI7qSfZtA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 17, 2014 All of them continue to be net negative
The LDs and LAB the gainers in today’s FOUR new voting intention polls
It feels like general election time! I can’t remember a day since the 2010 general election when we’ve had four new Westminster voting intention polls. They are featured in the interactive chart above. Most important is the monthly Ipsos-MORI phone poll which only in October had the Tories and LAB level pegging on 35%. Well it’s very different today with the red team having a 9% lead and the LDs seeing their share jump 4. The big driver of the…
Why those wanting an EU referendum shouldn’t pin their hopes on Ed Miliband
@LordAshcroft There's no benefit to LAB in helping close down the issue of Europe which has been so divisive for the Tories. No referendum. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2014 @MSmithsonPB ..wouldn't bet on that… — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) January 16, 2014 Last night I got into a little Twitter discussion with Lord Ashcroft over Labour and an EU referendum. He was articulating what is a widespread Tory view that EdM will be forced ahead of the election to…
Local By-Election Result : January 16th 2014
Broadheath on Trafford (Con Defence, elected in 2011) Helen Boyle (Labour) 1,377 votes (44%, +4% on 2011) Brenda Houraghan (Conservative) 1,258 votes (41%, -2% on 2011) Ron George (United Kingdom Independence Party) 234 votes (8%, +3% on 2011) Will Jones (Liberal Democrats) 150 votes (5%, -2% on 2011) Joe Ryan (Green) 67 votes (2%, -3% on 2011) Labour GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 119 votes (3%) on a swing from Con to Lab of 3% since 2011 Current…
Local By-Election Preview: January 16th 2014
Broadheath on Trafford (Con Defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Con 34, Lab 25, Lib Dem 4 (Conservative overall majority of 5) Result of ward in last electoral cycle: 2010: Con 2,569 (42%), Lab 1,799 (29%), Lib Dem 1,519 (25%), Green 247 (4%) 2011: Con 1,879 (43%), Lab 1,757 (40%), Lib Dem 307 (7%), UKIP 205 (5%), Green 202 (5%) 2012: Lab 1,662 (46%), Con 1,397 (39%), UKIP 221 (6%), Green 156 (4%), Lib Dem 152 (4%) Candidates…
Half of those who told YouGov that they’ll vote UKIP in the May Euros supported the Tories at GE210
UKIP only 2% behind LAB amongst those certain to vote UKIP WAS included in YouGov’s opening prompt UKIP WAS included in the opening prompt for YouGov's EP2014 poll & firm indicates possible change for Westminster http://t.co/J61mBrOrCf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2014
The European Parliament elections: The nonsense voting system that the coalition should have scrapped
EU elections ballot paper http://t.co/RLIyaIkww4 — PolPics (@PolPics) January 16, 2014 YouGov/Sun EP2014 poll has LAB 32% UKIP 26% CON 23% LD 9% So CON down to 3rd & LDs in danger of losing all MEPs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2014 The weird system made for the party machines Today we have, see above, the first YouGov poll for the big UK election this year that takes place on May 22nd when 73 UK MEPs will be elected to the European Parliament….
PB Nighthawks is now open
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re feeling, Under Pressure, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, and you’re thinking, I Want To Break Free from lurking, why not delurk tonight, you’ll find posting on PB is A Kind of Magic. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Jeremy Hunt writes on comment if…