Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’ve you had a Blue Monday, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, and you’re thinking of delurking why not delurk tonight, I have, True Faith, in your ability to make a contribution. You’ll set a new World In Motion for yourselves, when you start posting.  you’ll find if you don’t delurk, you’ll, Regret, it. The round up of recent…
Betting on who’ll win outright See where the money has been going in the Wythenshawe betting. Best LAB price now 1/9 pic.twitter.com/7GU7JKsCM9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 Betting on the runner-up Ukip now 2/5 favourite to come 2nd in Wythenshawe. See where money has been going pic.twitter.com/TSmOjIj8tK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 With the Wythenshawe by-election expected to take place in mid-February all the attention is now on who’ll get selected for Labour and UKIP. Clearly,…
Nigel, Nick and Ed are all seen less favourably than theirs A very big part of US polling that we see rarely in the UK are favourability ratings. Questioning such as “Do you have a favourable/unfavourable view of Obama/Democrats/Congress/ etc” have been part and parcel of US polling data for years. Yet surprisingly we rarely see such numbers in the UK. This weekend the ComRes online poll did ask these questions of the four party leaders and their parties and…
But YouGov’s 8% for the LDs signals problems over Rennard Very irritatingly Opinium don’t publish their full dataset until after the weekend so we have yet to see the firm’s fortnightly leader approval ratings and a Euro election poll that they carried out. Almost all the other firms, bar ICM, now have near instantaneous publication of the detailed data as soon as headline numbers are released. Opinium should get their act together. They are the only firm to carry out…
ComRes online for Indy on Sunday/S Mirror sees CON close gap by 2 CON 30% +1 LAB 35% -1 LD 8%= UKIP 19% +1 Very good for UKIP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 ComRes favourability ratings see UKIP the most favoured party The ComRes leader and party favourability ratings 1/2 http://t.co/WCtMUhHkuh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 The ComRes leader and party favourability ratings 2/2 http://t.co/Is8KxEWm2L — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 Still to come tonight Opinium and YouGov. Mike Smithson…
Check this YouGov polling – Europe has little salience Quite simply there are too few potential converts Judging by the intensity of many backbench CON MPs over the EU referendum issue you’d have thought that they firmly believe if only they could get this sorted it would be the magic bullet that would ensure their re-election at GE2015. The blunt fact is that it isn’t. For the vast bulk of voters Europe, even those saying UKIP as the chart shows,…
David Herdson’s Saturday Slant George Osborne turned lobbyist this week. Despite the fact that he is, in theory, one of the most powerful members of the government, his advocacy of an above-inflation increase in the minimum wage carries virtually no weight. Why? Because he doesn’t set it – and nor, in effect, does anyone else in the government. Rises are done on the recommendation of the Low Pay Commission and while ministers can overrule it, doing so defeats the purpose…