With almost exactly a year and a half to go LAB majority moves into the favourite slot
GE2015 betting odds LAB maj 6/4 No majority 13/8 CON maj 3/1 pic.twitter.com/m5LBy318G0
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 5, 2013
My longest-priced bet is the 12/1 I got last year with Hills for their “other” option in the GE2015 outcome market. That covers a hung parliament but with no coalitions being formed.
At 9/1, in a bet placed in May, I’ve got another CON-LD coalition or, if you like, the incumbent government being returned to power.
I’ve got wagers at evens with Dan Hodges and ConHome’s, Harry Phibbs, that the Tories will win fewer seats than LAB.
I’m on Ed Miliband at 6/4 to be PM before the end of the decade.
So far I’ve not been tempted to bet on a LAB overall majority.
Mike Smithson
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