In the last 24 hours or so, a couple of polls have been released on the Scottish Independence Referendum, one with a large lead for the no side, and one with a lead for the yes side, so how to make sense of this, First up was a YouGov poll for Devo Plus. Indy Ref polling YouGov/Devo Plus Yes to Independence 29 (nc) No to Independence 59 (+4) Changes since last YouGov poll in October 2012 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2013 In…
The fieldwork was post the Syria debate vote, Friday to Sunday inclusive. So two out of the three polls conducted in the aftermath of the defeat for the Government has shown no discernible change in VI, hopefully we shall see some more polling in the next few days, which will help us determine whether the YouGov was the harbinger of a period of increased Labour leads, or just an outlier. TSE
Following on from the House of Commons vote on military action in Syria, Labour sources claimed that William Hague, the Foreign Secretary, was “very, very angry†and threatened to quit over David Cameron’s decision to go straight to a parliamentary vote. Based on Yes, Minister’s first rule of politics: never believe anything until it’s been officially denied, the value may have gone out of backing Hague as next out of the cabinet, where he is currently favourite at 5/1, it…
One thing that Sean isn’t is a “fruit-cake” On one of the Syrian threads last week long-standing PB regular, Sean Fear, announced that he’d switched from the Tories to UKIP. Sean’s relationship with the site is a long one. Back in 2004 he became just about the first regular Tory poster here at a time when the threads were totally dominated dominated by Labour supporters. He built up a great reputation for his courtesy, his detailed knowledge of elections and…
The YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is out. YouGov Sunday Times Poll, Labour gets it first double digit lead since 12/7 Con 31 Lab 41 Lib Dem 9 UKIP 13 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013 YouGov changes compared with last poll take pre-Syrian vote Con -2 Lab +4 Lib Dems -1 UKIP +1 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013 As ever, this is one poll, we need to see more polling to see if this is an outlier or the…