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Month: September 2013

Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, it won’t turn your world, Upside Down, by delurking, I hope this intro will start a Chain Reaction of lurkers delurking. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Minority election: could black voters swing it in UK in…

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CON and UKIP voters are becoming more supportive of missile attacks on Syria – LAB and LD ones more hostile

CON and UKIP voters are becoming more supportive of missile attacks on Syria – LAB and LD ones more hostile

This is looking more partisan The above chart has been produced by taking the party splits on the Syrian missile issue and comparing them with the data from a week yesterday. As can be seen the net support/oppose numbers have overall moved more towards the latter. But both CON and UKIP voters have become more supportive of the proposal. The latter is in a manner that appears at odds with Farage’s high profile anti-position. Labour voters have moved sharply to…

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TNS BMRB polling on Scottish Independence

TNS BMRB polling on Scottish Independence

Support for Independence hits a new low with TNS-BMRB but support for the Union also falls as the big winner is the Don’t Knows. The changes are from their last poll in April of this year.   The question asked by TNS was “There will be a referendum on Scottish Independence on the 18th of September 2014. How do you intend to vote in response to the question: Should Scotland be an independent country” Which is near identical to the…

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Betting on Will There Be Another Government Sponsored Commons Vote On Military Intervention In Syria By Year End?

Betting on Will There Be Another Government Sponsored Commons Vote On Military Intervention In Syria By Year End?

Paddy Power have launched a market on Will There Be Another Government Sponsored Commons Vote On Military Intervention In Syria By Year End? New PB on whether the Govt will have a second vote on Syria http://t.co/iR49F1eN8w pic.twitter.com/pYu6K6ekWO — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013   David Cameron said today ‘Parliament spoke very clearly and it’s important to respect the view of parliament so I’m not planning to return to parliament to ask again about British military action.’ Nick Clegg has said “could not…

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Betting on the Lib Dems getting 14% or higher with YouGov this year

Betting on the Lib Dems getting 14% or higher with YouGov this year

Paddy Power have a market up on whether The Lib Dems will poll 14% or higher with YouGov this year. Paddy Power betting on whether the LDs will poll 14% or higher with YouGov in 2013 pic.twitter.com/QgsnvV6s9j — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013 The last time the Lib Dems polled higher than 14% with YouGov was when they polled 15% back in September 2010. The highest they have polled this year is 13% (twice) which was back in March. This…

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This Morning’s YouGov

This Morning’s YouGov

Sun/YouGov Poll Con 33% (+2) Lab 40% (-1) LD 9% (nc) UKIP 12%(-1) Changes since last pre Syria poll Con nc, Lab +3, LD -1, UKIP nc — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013 Labour will be happy with another poll showing them in the 40s. The Conservatives are back to their share of the vote being where it was prior to the Syria vote and see the Labour lead back to the single figure scores it has been for the…

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ComRes Phone Poll Out

ComRes Phone Poll Out

Labour increases its lead, from three points to six points.     The fieldwork dates were between Friday the 30th August and Sunday the 1st September 2013, ComRes interviewed 1,000 British adults by telephone, so all post the Government defeat on Syria. Other salient points from the poll This is another poll showing Labour’s share of the vote in the 36%-40% range. For the first time since December 2012 the Lib Dems are ahead of UKIP in a ComRes phone poll. As…

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