Maybury and Sheerwater on Woking (Lib Dem Defence)
Last Local Election (2012): Con 21, Lib Dem 15 (Con overall majority of 6)
Results of previous electoral cycle:
2010: Con 2,034 (43%), Lib Dem 1,871 (39%), Lab 525 (11%), UKIP 305 (6%)
2011: Con 1,061 (31%), Lab 1,016 (30%), Lib Dem 899 (26%), UKIP 434 (13%)
2012: Lib Dem 1,088 (34%), Lab 1,072 (34%), Con 685 (21%), UKIP 345 (11%)
Candidates duly nominated: Norman Johns (Lib Dem), Rashid Mohammed (Con), Stephen Tudhope (Lab), Neil Willetts (UKIP)

The parliamentary constituency of Woking is a true Conservative bastion. Not even the Labour landslide of 1997 could shift the Conservative MP from the seat (in fact the last time the seat did not elect a Conservative was in the Liberal landslide of 1906 and then only just). So the fact that the council has flipped on a fairly regular basis from Con, to Lib Dem to No Overall Control suggests that this domination at the parliamentary level does not extend to the council level and Maybury ward is a case in point and therefore could be described as a rare case of a three way marginal that becomes marginal at each election. Woking, back in 2003, was hung (Con 17, Lib Dem 11, Lab 6, Ind 1) and as time went on, Labour were slowly eroded from the council chamber (wiped out in 2007) turning into essentially a Conservative / Liberal Democrat battleground and my word what a battle it has been since then. A Conservative majority of 2 in 2007, was lost in 2010 (when the Independents gained a seat from the Conservatives) which was regained in 2011 and then increased in 2012. So who might win this evening? Well, a Lib Dem win would certainly bolster Nick Clegg ahead of his conference speech tomorrow but could UKIP throw a spanner in the works and get their first councillor on Woking or could Labour throw an even bigger spanner in the works and bolster Ed Milliband by allowing him to say “We can win in the truest blue shires of the south!”