Syria – How it will impact domestic politics
There was some polling released overnight by YouGov for The Times
YouGov/The Times poll finds support for firing UK missiles against Syria fell to 22%, from 25% on Tues opposition grew from 50 to 51%
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 28, 2013
YouGov finds 63% launching missiles at Syria will make things worse than better. 15% Disagree
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013
Despite overwhelming opposition to missile strikes in Syria, David Cameron’s personal ratings can give him some comfort.
46% of voters believe that when it comes to Syria Cameron is genuinely concerned to do what is right & in Britain’s interests. 33% Disagree
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013
Con split 69/15 (net +54) Lab split 37/43 (net -6) LD split 55/27 (net +28) UKIP split 36/54 (net -18) 2010 LD split 47/33 (net +14)
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013
Going forward, I would caution reading too much into polling changes over the next few days and weeks, particularly if they’re sub margin of error, plus if there is Western intervention in Syria, with UK participation, there could be a boost for the Government and David Cameron’s personal ratings, in the past, there have been on occasions short term boosts for the Government and Prime Minister, as nation rallies behind them in a time of war.
It could well be, military action begins and continues during the party conference season which starts in just over a fortnight, which has also seen short term poll movements.
For me, one of the most interesting aspects of the whole Syria story has been Labour’s approach, which has earned them praise and has earned David Cameron opprobrium.
Nick Clegg has also taken the opportunity to carve out a different position for the Lib Dems and past Lib Dem glories
UKIP seem intent on hovering up the anti-war vote.
But back to Dave and Ed, Parliament is back at 2.30pm today, and it could be entertaining viewing between those two, judging by the comments reported in the Times last night.
Undiplomatic lingo; RT @thetimes “No 10 and the Foreign Office think Miliband is a f****** c*** and a copper-bottomed s***”, a govt source.
— Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) August 28, 2013
UPDATE – Paddy Power put up a market whether Labour’s Motion will pass or not
Paddy Power betting on whether Labour's Syria motion will be carried. pic.twitter.com/7LDzl8lu7j
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013
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