Sixty years of general elections. Chart showing the big trends from 1950-2010. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2013 @samiraahmeduk The data came from British Electoral Facts by Rallings & Thrasher. The chart was prepared by Politicalbetting’s Tomas Forsey — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2013 The big trend chart from Corporeal
Could he soon return to the LAB front bench? There’s been a flurry of speculation about David Miliband this week and what future role he might play under Ed Miliband’s leadership, if any. Some have speculated that he could replace Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor, but a more likely position would be that of Shadow Foreign Secretary. This was a job he occupied for two and a half years under Gordon Brown and is one he would relish returning to….
How UKIP is eating into the CON vote – pie chart of CON 2010 voters from today’s YouGov data. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2013 Under FPTP LAB is the main winner The pie chart above is derived from today’s YouGov polling and shows the current voting intentions of those who supported Dave’s party in 2010. The 2010 data is based on polling carried out by YouGov immediatly after the election and not how polling respondents remember it…
Clegg says he’d like Huhne back in the Cabinet if he’s cleared. See – m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2013 We are now talking about a possible return for Chris Huhne following comments by Nick Clegg today. This is from the BBC report:- ““I would like to see Chris return, if he is cleared of everything,” he said. Mr Clegg described Mr Huhne, whom he beat to the Lib Dem leadership in 2007, as an “accomplished politician……
Ladbrokes move Etonian Jesse Norman next CON leader price from 50/1 to 33/1 following Speccie article. This is him. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2013 There’s been a flurry of activity following an article by Bruce Anderson in the Spectator tipping Jesse Norman to be Dave’s successor. Norman, who entered the commons in May 2010, came to prominence in July 2012 when he organised and led the hugely successful rebellion that ensured that the upper house would continue…
Test your skill in this year’s PB Prediction Competition “Never underestimate the determination of a quiet man†said Iain Duncan Smith shortly before his defenestration as Conservative leader. But after 2012, what will the quieter year of 2013 hold? How will UKIP perform in the opinion polls? Can the coalition hold together? Will Berlusconi return as Italian PM once more? It’s time to dust off your crystal ball and make your competition predictions for the year ahead. As before the…
67% tell ComRes/Express poll say Cameron would appear a “coward” if he didn’t take part in TV debates like in 2010. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2013 There’s a new poll out tonight by ComRes for the Daily Express highlighting the dangers for Dave of appearing to be reluctant about taking part in election TV debates. The 67%-12% split saying he would appear a coward if not there is quite emphatic. The debates will help being the election…
A great pic of George Osborne from PMQs twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 9, 2013 Should you take the 7/4 that he won’t make it? It’s been a big week politically for George Osborne with his strategy on the 1% limit on benfit increases being the main domestic political news of 2013. Osborne’s plan to put Labour on the spot has worked and what LAB MPs in marginal seats did last night will surely be used by the Tories…