Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot

Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot

Don’t ignore YouGov’s great record in Mayoral elections

With the last two Mayoral polls showing first preference leads of 9% and 11.2% for Boris it’s hardly surprising that on this final weekend the money has been going on the incumbent.

I’m being a tad more cautious. YouGov’s final polls in both 2004 and 2008 got it correct to within 1% and there should be a new survey out tomorrow.

Remember that four years ago the other pollsters had it as a dead heat or Ken ahead.

Although I’m often critical of YouGov you cannot fault its record with this election and its last poll had the gap at just 2%.

@MikeSmithsonOGH

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