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Next president Betfair Politics The price of gasoline: Something a president can do a lot about 54% / Beyond any president’s control 36% (CBS/NYT Poll) j.mp/xC5102 — PollingReport.com (@pollreport) March 13, 2012 Obama’s approval rate drops to new low in new poll…pwire.at/yZo7Ey — Taegan Goddard (@politicalwire) March 12, 2012 Could he be punished for rising gas prices? A new poll just out has Obama’s approval ratings moving to a new low. According to the latest CBS survey just 41% of…

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Next week on PB We are having short break in the border country near Berwick and I won’t be posting much on the site. If anybody has got ideas for guest slots then please drop me an email. @MikeSmithsonOGH

Or has the Lansley plan muddied the waters for years? It now seems likely that before Easter the Lansley NHS changes, in a much amended form, will be approved by parliament. The question for the Tories is how much is going to be remembered come general election day. Will they say, for instance, give us a majority and we’ll implement it in full? I doubt it. As poll after poll has shown the NHS remains a toxic issue issues the…

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Would it be better for Miliband if he was? Back in 2004 Labour’s electoral genius, Tony Blair, took a massive gamble to ensure that his party would win at least one big prize at that year’s local elections. Ken Livingstone, who had first won the London mayoralty four years earlier as an independent, was controversially brought back into the party to be LAB candidate for Mayor. Nikki Gavron, who had been fairly and squarely selected as candidate months earlier, was…

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Google elections Romney is heading for the nomination – at $17.14 a vote – My latest at Telegraph Blogs soc.li/4KtIjEP — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) March 11, 2012

The Sun Is she still worth an 11/4 bet? Rupert Murdoch is obviously pretty proud of the move to bring in Yvette Cooper in the new Sunday edition of his paper. This was a Tweet from last night:- Sun on Sunday improving every week.See tomorrow’s article by Yvette Cooper.Should stir the pot!Another big paper for 50p. — Rupert Murdoch(@rupertmurdoch) March 10, 2012 Clearly this is going to heighten public awareness of the shadow home secretary who is the strong favourite…

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Why PB takes political advertising The poster Lapsis on the previous thread raised the issue of why anti-Ken adverts are appearing on the site. The answer that I don’t personally approve of the advertising which is handled by MessageSpace. I do set down general policies. One of those is that we accept political ads from all quarters and, indeed, all the main parties and some trade unions have advertised here at one stage or another. PB costs money to keep…

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Nick Clegg wins first health bill battle – Lib Dems vote to debate Williams health motion, not rebel one – bit.ly/ypXdE4 — AndrewSparrow (@AndrewSparrow) March 10, 2012 But is it the right decision for the party? Within the last half hour the results of a ballot at the LD spring conference in Gateshead have been announced and represent a victory for the party establishment over many activists. Delegates were asked to choose between four possible emergency motions on the Lansley…

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