The latest PAPA – the Politicalbetting All Pollsters’ Average is just out and has Labour dropping below the 40% mark for the first time this year.
The calculation is based by taking an average of the most recent polls from the firms that do regular political polling. If a firm does not publish a survey for more than a month then their numbers drop out.
|Poll/publication||Date||CON %||LAB %||LD %||OTH %|
|ComRes/Indy on Sunday (phone)||03/05/11||34||37||15||14|
UPDATE: The final Angus Reid AV poll is out and has a 61-39 split to NO. For details see here.